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Yonyou Network Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600588) Third-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

Yonyou Network Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600588) Third-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

用友網絡科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600588)第三季度業績:分析師對明年的預測
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/01 18:21

The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Yonyou Network Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600588), given that the company fell short of expectations when it released its third-quarter results last week. Statutory earnings fell substantially short of expectations, with revenues of CN¥1.9b missing forecasts by 26%. Losses exploded, with a per-share loss of CN¥0.20 some 900% below prior forecasts. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

分析師在用友網絡科技 (SHSE:600588) 上可能有點過於看好了,因爲該公司上週發佈第三季度業績時,落後於市場預期。法定收益大幅遜於預期,營業收入爲19億人民幣,比預期少了26%。損失激增,每股虧損爲0.20元,比先前預測低了近900%。對投資者來說,這是一個重要時刻,他們可以通過報告跟蹤公司的表現,查看專家們對明年的預測,以及業務預期是否有任何變化。因此,我們收集了最新的業績後預測,看看預估顯示明年將發生什麼。

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SHSE:600588 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 1st 2024
SHSE:600588 2024年11月1日業績和營收增長

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd's 22 analysts is for revenues of CN¥12.3b in 2025. This would reflect a substantial 25% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Earnings are expected to improve, with Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd forecast to report a statutory profit of CN¥0.12 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥12.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.12 in 2025. The consensus seems maybe a little more pessimistic, trimming their revenue forecasts after the latest results even though there was no change to its EPS estimates.

考慮到最新的結果,用友網絡科技有22位分析師達成共識,預計2025年營業收入將達到123億人民幣。這將較過去12個月的營收大幅增加25%。預計盈利將改善,用友網絡科技預計將報告每股0.12元的法定利潤。然而,在最新業績公佈之前,分析師們預期2025年的營業收入爲125億人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲0.12元。共識似乎略微悲觀,儘管在最新結果後修正了其營收預測,但EPS預估未發生變化。

The consensus has reconfirmed its price target of CN¥11.65, showing that the analysts don't expect weaker revenue expectations next year to have a material impact on Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd's market value. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥16.48 and the most bearish at CN¥8.80 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

共識已經重新確認了人民幣11.65元的目標價,顯示分析師們不認爲明年較弱的營收預期會對用友網絡科技的市值產生實質影響。然而,從這些數據中我們還可以得出其他結論,因爲一些投資者在評估分析師的目標價時也喜歡考慮預估價位的分佈情況。對於用友網絡科技,分析師對其存在着一些不同看法,最看好的分析師估值爲16.48元,最看淡的爲8.80元每股。這是一個相當廣泛的估值範圍,表明分析師對該業務有着各種可能結果的廣泛預測。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 20% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 4.3% per annum over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 20% per year. Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.

現在從更大的角度來看,我們可以通過將這些預測與過去的業績和行業增長預測進行比較來理解其中的意義。分析師們確實預計用友網絡技術有限公司的增長速度將加快,到2025年年底預計增長20%,與過去五年平均增長率4.3%相比排名靠前。行業中其他類似受到分析師關注的公司也預計將以每年20%的速度增長營業收入。用友網絡技術有限公司預計增長速度與其行業大致相同,因此我們無法得出相對競爭對手增長情況的任何結論。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Sadly, they also downgraded their revenue forecasts, but the business is still expected to grow at roughly the same rate as the industry itself. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最明顯的結論是,最近業務前景沒有發生重大變化,分析師們保持了他們的盈利預測穩定,與先前的估計一致。不幸的是,他們還下調了營業收入預測,但業務仍有望以與行業本身大致相同的速度增長。儘管如此,每股收益對於業務的內在價值更加重要。共識價格目標沒有發生實質性變化,這表明業務的內在價值在最新估計中並未發生重大變化。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

繼續這一思路,我們認爲業務的長期前景比明年的收益更爲重要。在Simply Wall St,我們對用友網絡技術有限公司直至2026年的分析師預測涵蓋全面,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

You can also see whether Yonyou Network TechnologyLtd is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.

您也可以免費在我們的平台上查看用友網絡技術有限公司是否負債過多,以及其資產負債表是否健康。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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