Dynamic Holdings' (HKG:29) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality
Dynamic Holdings' (HKG:29) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality
Dynamic Holdings Limited's (HKG:29) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.
Dynamic Holdings Limited(HKG:29)強勁的盈利報告未能推動其股票市場。我們進行了一些調查,發現了一些令人擔憂的細節因素。
Examining Cashflow Against Dynamic Holdings' Earnings
檢查現金流與Dynamic Holdings盈利的對比
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
許多投資者沒有聽說過現金流的應計比率,但它實際上是一個有用的衡量公司利潤在一個給定期間內被自由現金流(FCF)支持的度量衡。爲了得到應計比率,我們首先需要在一個期間內將FCF從利潤中減去,然後將該數額除以該期間平均營運資產。您可以認爲現金流應計比率是「非FCF盈利比率」。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,當一家公司的淨應計流量比率爲負數時,實際上它被認爲是一件好事,但是如果它的應計流量比率爲正數,那麼就是一件壞事了。儘管應計流量比率高於零時並不值得擔憂,但當一家公司的應計流量比率相對較高時,我們認爲值得注意。原因是一些學術研究表明高的應計比率往往導致利潤或利潤增長較少。
For the year to June 2024, Dynamic Holdings had an accrual ratio of 1.18. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of HK$41m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of HK$5.35b. It's worth noting that Dynamic Holdings generated positive FCF of HK$17m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. One positive for Dynamic Holdings shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.
到2024年6月止,Dynamic Holdings的應計比率爲1.18。 從統計上講,這對未來盈利實際上是一個負面影響。確實,在該時段內,該公司根本沒有產生任何自由現金流。過去一年,與前述53.5億港元的利潤相比,其實際上有4100萬港元的負面自由現金流。值得注意的是,Dynamic Holdings一年前產生了1700萬港元的正面自由現金流,所以至少他們在過去曾做到過。Dynamic Holdings股東的一個積極因素是,去年其應計比率明顯更好,這提供了理由相信未來可能會回歸更強的現金轉化。因此,一些股東可能正在尋求更強的現金轉化率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Dynamic Holdings.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產強度。 點擊這裏查看我們對Dynamic Holdings資產負債表分析。
Our Take On Dynamic Holdings' Profit Performance
我們對Dynamic Holdings的盈利表現有自己的看法
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Dynamic Holdings didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Dynamic Holdings' statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Dynamic Holdings at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Dynamic Holdings and you'll want to know about it.
正如我們所清楚表明的,我們有些擔心Dynamic Holdings沒有用自由現金流支撐去年的利潤。因此,我們認爲Dynamic Holdings的法定利潤可能不是其潛在盈利能力的良好指引,可能會讓投資者對公司產生過於樂觀的印象。美中不足的是,儘管EPS增長在過去一年裏表現得非常出色,它並不是一個完美的衡量標準。歸根結底,如果您想正確理解公司,除了上述因素外還需要考慮更多。因此,儘管盈利質量很重要,但同樣重要的是考慮Dynamic Holdings此時面臨的風險。您可能會感興趣知道,我們發現了1個關於Dynamic Holdings的警示信號,您會希望了解更多。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Dynamic Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
今天,我們聚焦於一個數據點,以更好地了解Dynamic Holdings的利潤本質。但是,如果您能夠專注於細節,總能發現更多。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是良好業務經濟的指標,而其他人則喜歡「跟蹤資金」並尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,您可能希望查看這份擁有高股本回報率的公司自由收集,或這份具有高內部持股的股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。