The Value Partners Group Limited (HKG:806) share price has softened a substantial 25% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 28% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking Value Partners Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 6.2x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Capital Markets industry have P/S ratios below 3.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does Value Partners Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
Value Partners Group could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Value Partners Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is Value Partners Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
Value Partners Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 81% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 1.8% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 26% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.
In light of this, it's alarming that Value Partners Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Value Partners Group's P/S?
Even after such a strong price drop, Value Partners Group's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
For a company with revenues that are set to decline in the context of a growing industry, Value Partners Group's P/S is much higher than we would've anticipated. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenue decline likely to impact the positive sentiment that's propping up the P/S. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Value Partners Group that we have uncovered.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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