Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For Bona Film Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001330) After Its Latest Results
Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For Bona Film Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001330) After Its Latest Results
Shareholders of Bona Film Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001330) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 12% to CN¥5.81 following its latest third-quarter results. Revenues came in at CN¥314m, an impressive 51% ahead of analyst forecasts. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
博納影業集團有限公司(SZSE:001330)的股東本週將感到高興,因爲該股票的價格上漲了12%,達到人民幣5.81,繼其最新的第三季度業績後。營業收入爲人民幣31400萬,比分析師的預測高出51%。這對投資者來說是一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以通過報告跟蹤公司的業績,查看專家對明年的預測,並觀察業務期望是否發生變化。我們認爲讀者會對分析師最新的(法定)盈利後預測感興趣。
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Bona Film Group's three analysts is for revenues of CN¥3.23b in 2025. This reflects a sizeable 159% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Earnings are expected to improve, with Bona Film Group forecast to report a statutory profit of CN¥0.32 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥3.49b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.36 in 2025. The analysts seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a real cut to earnings per share numbers.
考慮到最新的業績,博納影業集團的三位分析師的共識預測是,2025年的營業收入爲人民幣32.3億。這反映出與過去12個月相比,營業收入有159%的大幅改善。預計盈利將有所改善,博納影業集團預計每股盈利爲人民幣0.32。然而在最新的業績之前,分析師們預計2025年的營業收入爲人民幣34.9億,每股收益(EPS)爲人民幣0.36。分析師們在最近的業績發佈後似乎對未來並不太樂觀,降低了他們的營業收入預測,並對每股收益數據進行了實質性的下調。
Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the CN¥6.50 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value.
儘管對預測盈利進行了下調,但人民幣6.50的價格目標並沒有實質性改變,這表明分析師們認爲這些變化對其內在價值沒有重大影響。
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Bona Film Group is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 114% annualised growth until the end of 2025. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 20% annual decline over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 15% per year. Not only are Bona Film Group's revenues expected to improve, it seems that the analysts are also expecting it to grow faster than the wider industry.
我們還可以從更大的背景來看待這些估算,例如如何將預測與過去的表現進行比較,以及相對於行業內其他公司,預測是否更加看好。這些估算中有一個顯著特點,即博納影業集團預計未來的增長速度將快於過去,預計到2025年底營業收入將呈114%的年化增長。如果實現,這將比過去五年的20%的年下降幅度好得多。相比之下,我們的數據表明,行業內其他公司的營業收入預計將每年增長15%。不僅博納影業集團的營業收入預計會改善,而且分析師們似乎也預計其增長速度將快於更廣泛的行業。
The Bottom Line
結論
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Bona Film Group. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, but the latest forecasts still imply the business will grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
最大的問題是分析師下調了每股收益的預期,這表明博納影業集團可能面臨業務挑戰。遺憾的是,他們還降低了營業收入的預期,但最新的預測仍然暗示該業務將比更廣泛的行業板塊增長更快。共識目標價沒有實質性變化,這表明這項業務的內在價值與最新的預估沒有發生重大變化。
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Bona Film Group going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
考慮到這一點,我們仍然認爲業務的長期發展軌跡對投資者來說更加重要。在Simply Wall ST,我們有博納影業集團到2026年的完整分析師預估,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
You can also view our analysis of Bona Film Group's balance sheet, and whether we think Bona Film Group is carrying too much debt, for free on our platform here.
您還可以在我們的平台上免費查看我們對博納影業集團資產負債表的分析,以及我們是否認爲博納影業集團揹負着過多債務。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。