Earnings Miss: Zhuzhou Kibing Group Co.,Ltd Missed EPS And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Earnings Miss: Zhuzhou Kibing Group Co.,Ltd Missed EPS And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Investors in Zhuzhou Kibing Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:601636) had a good week, as its shares rose 2.1% to close at CN¥6.71 following the release of its quarterly results. Revenues missed expectations, with revenue of CN¥3.7b falling 17% short of forecasts. Earnings correspondingly dipped, with Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd reporting a statutory loss of CN¥0.04 per share, where the analysts were expecting a profit. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd after the latest results.
旗濱集團股份有限公司(SHSE:601636)的投資者過得不錯,因爲其股價上漲了2.1%,收於6.71人民幣,這是在季度業績公佈後。營業收入低於預期,營收爲37億人民幣,較預期下降了17%。盈利也相應下降,旗濱集團股份有限公司報告每股虧損0.04人民幣,而分析師原本預期有盈利。盈利是投資者重要的時刻,因爲他們可以跟蹤公司的表現,看看分析師對明年的預測,以及對該公司的看法是否有變化。讀者將樂於知道,我們已經彙總了最新的法定預測,以查看分析師在最新業績後是否改變了對旗濱集團股份有限公司的看法。
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd's eleven analysts is for revenues of CN¥20.7b in 2025. This reflects a substantial 29% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to leap 57% to CN¥0.71. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥20.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.70 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.
考慮到最新的結果,旗濱集團股份有限公司的十一名分析師的共識預測認爲,2025年營業收入將達到207億人民幣。這反映了較過去12個月營收大幅增長29%。每股法定盈利預計將飆升57%至0.71人民幣。在此報告之前,分析師一直在預測2025年的營收爲207億元,每股收益(EPS)爲0.70元。共識分析師似乎沒有在這些結果中看到任何可能改變他們對該業務的看法的內容,因爲他們的估計沒有發生重大變化。
With no major changes to earnings forecasts, the consensus price target fell 5.3% to CN¥6.87, suggesting that the analysts might have previously been hoping for an earnings upgrade. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd at CN¥11.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥4.10. So we wouldn't be assigning too much credibility to analyst price targets in this case, because there are clearly some widely different views on what kind of performance this business can generate. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.
由於盈利預測未發生重大變化,共識價格目標下調5.3%至6.87人民幣,這表明分析師可能之前一直希望有盈利升級。然而,還有另一種看待價格目標的方式,那就是查看分析師提出的價格目標範圍,因爲廣泛的估計範圍可能暗示對該業務可能結果有不同看法。目前,最看好的分析師認爲旗濱集團股份有限公司每股價值11.00人民幣,而最看淡的價格爲4.10人民幣。因此,在這種情況下,我們不會過分依賴分析師的價格目標,因爲對於這家企業能夠產生什麼樣的表現,顯然存在一些觀點上的分歧。因此,我們不會完全依賴共識價格目標,因爲這只是一個平均值,分析師對該業務顯然有一些差異很大的看法。
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 22% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 12% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 14% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd to grow faster than the wider industry.
另一種觀點是,我們可以將這些預測放在更大的背景下來看,比如預測與過去表現的對比,以及預測相對於行業其他公司是更偏向看好還是看淡。 從最新的預測中可以明顯看出,旗濱集團的增長率有望顯著加速,預計到2025年年化收入增長率爲22%,明顯快於過去五年12%的歷史增長率。 相比之下,我們的數據顯示,其他(被分析師覆蓋的)同行業公司預計年增收入率爲14%。 顯而易見的是,儘管增長前景比最近時期更亮眼,但分析師也預計旗濱集團的增速將超過更廣泛的行業。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.
最重要的是,市場情緒沒有發生重大變化,分析師重申業績與之前每股收益預期一致。 幸運的是,他們還重申了營收數據,表明其與預期一致。此外,我們的數據顯示營收預計增速將超過更廣泛的行業。 此外,分析師還下調了目標價,表明最新資訊導致市場對公司內在價值更爲悲觀。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年更爲重要。 我們對旗濱集團的預測一直延伸到2026年,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Zhuzhou Kibing GroupLtd you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.
不過,您應該始終考慮風險。 舉一個例子,我們發現了旗濱集團存在3個警示信號,您應該注意,其中有2個信號令人擔憂。
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