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Keli Motor Group (SZSE:002892) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Keli Motor Group (SZSE:002892) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

科力爾汽車集團(SZSE:002892)擁有一個相當健康的資產負債表
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/01 20:43

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Keli Motor Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002892) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理李錄(得到查理·芒格的支持)曾經說過,「最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會遭受到資本永久性損失。」 因此,顯然您需要考慮債務,當您考慮任何一隻股票的風險時,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。 我們可以看到,科力爾汽車集團股份有限公司(SZSE:002892)確實在業務中使用了債務。 但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否使公司變得更加冒險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無力償還債務,那麼它就完全受債權人支配。 如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以控制企業。 但更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以廉價的價格發行股份,永久性削弱股東,只是爲了強化其資產負債表。 然而,通過取代股權稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。 當我們考慮一家公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起。

How Much Debt Does Keli Motor Group Carry?

科力爾汽車集團承擔了多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Keli Motor Group had debt of CN¥284.3m, up from CN¥167.5m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥509.6m in cash, so it actually has CN¥225.4m net cash.

下面的圖片顯示,您可以點擊以獲取更詳細信息,顯示2024年9月科力爾汽車集團負債爲人民幣28430萬,比一年前的人民幣16750萬增加。 但其資產負債表顯示其持有人民幣50960萬現金,因此實際上淨現金爲人民幣22540萬。

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SZSE:002892 Debt to Equity History November 2nd 2024
SZSE:002892 債務與股本歷史 2024年11月2日

A Look At Keli Motor Group's Liabilities

科力爾汽車集團負債情況一覽

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Keli Motor Group had liabilities of CN¥624.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥259.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥509.6m as well as receivables valued at CN¥508.6m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥133.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表上看到,科力爾汽車集團有一個淨額爲62440萬人民幣的一年內到期的負債,以及25990萬人民幣的到期時間超過一年的負債。抵消這些義務,它擁有50960萬人民幣的現金,以及50860萬人民幣的應收款項,12個月內到期。所以它可以誇耀比總負債多13390萬人民幣的流動資產。

This state of affairs indicates that Keli Motor Group's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥7.71b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Keli Motor Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種情況表明科力爾汽車集團的資產負債表看起來相當穩固,因爲其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。因此,雖然很難想象這家總資產爲77.1億人民幣的公司會爲現金短缺而苦惱,但我們仍認爲值得監控其資產負債表。簡而言之,科力爾汽車集團擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

Importantly, Keli Motor Group grew its EBIT by 82% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Keli Motor Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

重要的是,科力爾汽車集團過去十二個月增長了82%的稅息折舊前利潤(EBIt),這種增長將使其更容易處理債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到最多關於債務。但正是科力爾汽車集團的收入將影響資產負債表未來的狀況。所以如果您渴望了解更多關於其收入的信息,不妨查看一下其長期收入趨勢的圖表。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Keli Motor Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Keli Motor Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,一家企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不足夠。科力爾汽車集團可能在資產負債表上擁有淨現金,但查看業務如何將稅息折舊前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其管理債務的需求和能力。在過去的三年裏,科力爾汽車集團的自由現金流一直顯著爲負數。儘管這可能是爲了增長支出,但這確實使債務風險更高。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Keli Motor Group has net cash of CN¥225.4m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 82% over the last year. So we don't have any problem with Keli Motor Group's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Keli Motor Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

儘管我們能理解投資者對債務感到擔憂,但您必須記住,科力爾擁有人民幣22540萬的淨現金,以及比負債更多的流動資產。在過去一年中,科力爾的EBIt增長率達到了82%,這令我們印象深刻。所以我們對科力爾利用債務並沒有任何問題。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的區域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範圍的風險。作爲例證:我們已經發現了科力爾的兩個警示信號,您應該注意其中1個,另一個則不容忽視。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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