On Nov 02, major Wall Street analysts update their ratings for $Estee Lauder (EL.US)$, with price targets ranging from $70 to $107.
Morgan Stanley analyst Dara Mohsenian maintains with a hold rating, and adjusts the target price from $100 to $85.
Goldman Sachs analyst Bonnie Herzog maintains with a hold rating, and adjusts the target price from $115 to $75.
J.P. Morgan analyst Andrea Faria Teixeira downgrades to a hold rating, and adjusts the target price from $113 to $74.
BofA Securities analyst Bryan Spillane maintains with a hold rating, and adjusts the target price from $100 to $75.
UBS analyst Peter Grom maintains with a hold rating, and adjusts the target price from $104 to $74.
Furthermore, according to the comprehensive report, the opinions of $Estee Lauder (EL.US)$'s main analysts recently are as follows:
Estee Lauder's first quarter performance exceeded expectations, but this was overshadowed by second quarter guidance that didn't meet consensus, alongside the withdrawal of guidance for the second half and a reduction in dividends. An analyst notes that visibility is currently quite limited, and there is anticipation of potential changes in strategy and additional plans to improve productivity with the arrival of new leadership. It is believed that an expanded restructuring plan should be implemented to address the company's significant cost structure.
The expectation for Estee Lauder's dividend commitment to remain near a 40% payout ratio suggests a net income projection of $1.2 billion, or an earnings potential of $3.50 per share over time. The analyst believes it may be too soon to capitalize on the stock's recent decline, given the ongoing deceleration in China and the upcoming transition to a new CEO in January.
Estee Lauder has been experiencing ongoing sales declines and a lack of foreseeable clarity, prompting management to retract their financial guidance. The absence of clear direction is anticipated to persist for the upcoming quarter. Challenges stemming from diminished volumes in China and Asia's travel retail sector have led to operational leverage issues, suggesting a postponement in the execution of the company's strategy and potential returns. It is advisable for investors to look for more positive indicators of demand recovery before proceeding.
Despite previously set low expectations, Estee Lauder's fiscal first-quarter results and updated guidance fell short of forecasts, marked by the withdrawal of fiscal 2025 guidance, a second-quarter outlook that failed to meet expectations, and a reduced dividend. The stock is anticipated to experience a notable decline and may approach historical low points. The deteriorating trends in China and the absence of clear strategic direction from the soon-to-be CEO, Stephane de la Faverie, contribute to the uncertainty surrounding Estee Lauder's sales and earnings prospects.
Estee Lauder's recent earnings announcement was unexpectedly weak. Although Q1 results were roughly in line with expectations, management's Q2 forecast, withdrawal of guidance, and reduced dividend were seen as letdowns. Despite these challenges, it's believed that the stock's current valuation has significantly deviated from what's considered its fair value.
Here are the latest investment ratings and price targets for $Estee Lauder (EL.US)$ from 12 analysts:
Note:
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美東時間11月2日，多家華爾街大行更新了$雅詩蘭黛 (EL.US)$的評級，目標價介於70美元至107美元。
摩根士丹利分析師Dara Mohsenian維持持有評級，並將目標價從100美元下調至85美元。
高盛集團分析師Bonnie Herzog維持持有評級，並將目標價從115美元下調至75美元。
摩根大通分析師Andrea Faria Teixeira下調至持有評級，並將目標價從113美元下調至74美元。
美銀證券分析師Bryan Spillane維持持有評級，並將目標價從100美元下調至75美元。
瑞士銀行分析師Peter Grom維持持有評級，並將目標價從104美元下調至74美元。
此外，綜合報道，$雅詩蘭黛 (EL.US)$近期主要分析師觀點如下：
雅詩蘭黛第一季度業績超出預期，但這被第二季度的業績預期未達共識、下半年指引撤回和分紅降低所掩蓋。一位分析師指出，目前能見度相當有限，預計隨着新領導的到來，公司的戰略和額外提高生產力的計劃可能會發生變化。人們相信應實施擴大的重組計劃來解決公司重要的成本結構問題。
對雅詩蘭黛保持分紅承諾接近40%的比例的期望表明淨收入預計爲12億美元，或者逐漸達到每股3.50美元的盈利潛力。分析師認爲，在中國的持續放緩和即將於一月上任的新CEO之際，現在可能還爲時過早把握該股最近的下跌。
雅詩蘭黛一直在經歷持續的銷售下滑和缺乏可預見的清晰性，促使管理層撤回他們的財務指引。缺乏明確方向預計將持續到未來的一個季度。由於中國和亞洲旅遊零售業的銷售量減少帶來了運營槓桿問題，表明公司策略的執行和潛在回報可能會延遲。建議投資者在繼續前進之前尋找更多積極的需求恢復指標。
儘管之前設定了較低的預期，雅詩蘭黛的財政第一季度業績和更新後的指引仍然未能達到預期，標誌着撤回2025財年指引、第二季度未達預期的前景和分紅減少。預計股票將經歷顯著下跌，並可能接近歷史低點。中國的惡化趨勢以及即將上任的CEO Stephane de la Faverie 缺乏明確的戰略方向，爲雅詩蘭黛的銷售和收入前景增加了不確定性。
雅詩蘭黛最近的盈利公告出乎意料地疲弱。儘管第一季度的業績大致符合預期，但管理層對第二季度的預測、撤回指導以及減少分紅派息被視爲令人失望。儘管面臨這些挑戰，人們相信該股票的當前估值已經顯著偏離了被認爲是其公允價值的水平。
以下爲今日12位分析師對$雅詩蘭黛 (EL.US)$的最新投資評級及目標價：
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分析師總勝率為近一年分析師的評級成功次數占總評級次數的比率。評级的成功與否，取決於TipRanks的虚擬投資組合是否從該股票中產生正回報。
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