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Gannett (NYSE:GCI) Has No Shortage Of Debt

Gannett (NYSE:GCI) Has No Shortage Of Debt

甘尼特 (紐交所:GCI) 沒有債務短缺
Simply Wall St ·  11/02 21:03

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Gannett Co., Inc. (NYSE:GCI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李錄(得到查理·曼格支持)曾經說過,'最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於你是否將遭受資本的永久損失。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們注意到甘尼特公司(紐交所:GCI)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但這些債務是否會令股東擔憂呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但如果企業無力償還債務,那麼企業就在貸款人的掌控之下。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制企業。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以便宜的股票價格稀釋股東權益,僅僅是爲了控制債務。當然,許多公司利用債務爲增長提供資金,而沒有任何負面的後果。當我們考慮到公司的債務使用時,我們首先考慮現金和債務。

What Is Gannett's Net Debt?

甘尼特的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Gannett had debt of US$992.1m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from US$1.06b over a year. However, it does have US$101.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$890.3m.

下面的圖片,您可以點擊查看更詳細的信息,顯示甘尼特在2024年9月底的債務爲9,9210萬美元,較去年的10.6億美元有所減少。然而,它有10,180萬美元的現金來抵消這筆債務,導致淨債務約爲8,9030萬美元。

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NYSE:GCI Debt to Equity History November 2nd 2024
紐交所:GCI債務權益歷史數據2024年11月2日

How Strong Is Gannett's Balance Sheet?

甘尼特的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Gannett had liabilities of US$551.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.27b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$101.8m as well as receivables valued at US$244.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.48b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

深入了解最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到甘尼特有55120萬美元的負債需要在12個月內償還,以及12.7億美元的長期負債。 抵消這些義務,它有10180萬美元的現金以及24400萬美元的應收賬款需要在12個月內償還。 因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收款項的總和多14.8億美元。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$692.2m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Gannett would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

這裏的不足嚴重拖累了69220萬美元的公司本身,就像一個孩子在背上挎着裝滿書籍、體育器材和小號的沉重揹包一樣。 因此,我們認爲股東們需要密切關注這一點。 畢竟,如果甘尼特今天必須償還債務,很可能需要進行重大的再資本化。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們使用兩個主要的比率來告訴我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是其利潤前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用的次數(或其利息覆蓋率,簡稱)。因此,我們考慮與折舊和攤銷費用相關的盈利以及沒有相關費用的盈利相對於債務水平。

While we wouldn't worry about Gannett's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.7, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.92 times is a sign of high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Investors should also be troubled by the fact that Gannett saw its EBIT drop by 19% over the last twelve months. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Gannett can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

雖然我們不會擔心甘尼特的淨債務與EBITDA比率爲3.7,但我們認爲其極低的利息保障倍數爲0.92倍是高槓杆的跡象。 在很大程度上,這是由於公司重大的折舊和攤銷費用,這可能意味着其EBITDA是一種非常慷慨的盈利衡量標準,而其債務可能比首次看起來更加沉重。 因此,股東們應該意識到利息支出似乎最近確實對業務產生了影響。 投資者還應該對以下事實感到擔憂,即甘尼特過去12個月看到其EBIT下降了19%。 如果情況繼續惡化,處理債務負擔將會像在彈簧杆上遞送熱咖啡一樣艱難。 當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是要重點關注的領域。 但最終業務未來的盈利能力將決定甘尼特是否能夠隨時間加強其資產負債表。 因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看此免費報告,其中展示了分析師的利潤預測。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Gannett recorded free cash flow of 26% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,雖然稅務部門可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冰冷的現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是查看實際自由現金流所匹配的EBIt比例。在最近的三年中,甘尼特記錄的自由現金流佔其EBIt的26%,這比我們預期的要弱。這種薄弱的現金轉換使處理債務變得更加困難。

Our View

我們的觀點

On the face of it, Gannett's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its net debt to EBITDA also fails to instill confidence. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Gannett has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Gannett has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

乍一看,甘尼特的利息償付倍數令我們對股票持謹慎態度,其總負債水平也沒有比年度最繁忙的夜晚只有一個空蕩蕩的餐廳更具吸引力。此外,其淨債務與EBITDA的比率也未能增強信心。在考慮了討論過的數據點之後,我們認爲甘尼特的債務過多。雖然一些投資者喜歡這種風險較高的操作方式,但這確實不是我們的菜。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到關於債務的大部分信息。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。例如 - 甘尼特有2個警示信號,我們認爲您應該注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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