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The NAURA Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002371) Third-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

The NAURA Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002371) Third-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

北方華創科技集團有限公司(SZSE:002371)發佈了第三季度業績,並分析師已經發布了新的預測
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/03 08:38

NAURA Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002371) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. The result was positive overall - although revenues of CN¥8.0b were in line with what the analysts predicted, NAURA Technology Group surprised by delivering a statutory profit of CN¥3.14 per share, modestly greater than expected. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

北方華創股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:002371)上週公佈了最新的季度業績,這是投資者深入了解業務是否達到預期的好時機。總體結果是積極的——儘管營業收入爲80億人民幣,符合分析師的預測,北方華創卻意外地交出了每股3.14元的法定利潤,略高於預期。業績公佈後,分析師們更新了他們的收益模型,了解他們是否認爲公司前景發生了重大變化,或者一切照舊,將會很好。我們認爲讀者會對分析師最新的(法定)盈利預測感興趣。

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SZSE:002371 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 3rd 2024
深圳證券交易所:002371 每股收益和營業收入增長 2024年11月3日

After the latest results, the 22 analysts covering NAURA Technology Group are now predicting revenues of CN¥39.0b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a substantial 40% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to surge 39% to CN¥14.33. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥39.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥14.24 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

在最新業績公佈後,覆蓋北方華創的22位分析師現在預測2025年的營業收入爲390億人民幣。如果預測實現,這將比過去12個月的營業收入實現大幅40%的增長。每股收益預計將激增39%,達到14.33元。在此報告發布之前,分析師們曾對2025年的營業收入預測爲390億人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲14.24元。因此,雖然分析師們更新了他們的預測,但我們認爲,業績發佈後對公司的預期沒有重大變化。

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of CN¥421, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on NAURA Technology Group, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥503 and the most bearish at CN¥354 per share. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await NAURA Technology Group shareholders.

營業收入或每股收益的預估以及421元的價格目標沒有變化,這表明公司在最近的業績中達成了預期。共識價格目標只是各個分析師目標的平均值,因此,了解底層估計的範圍有多寬可能會很有幫助。對於北方華創,投資者的看法存在一些差異,最看好的分析師評估其每股價值爲503元,而最看淡的分析師則評估爲354元。分析師們對業務的看法確實存在差異,但在我們看來,估計的差距不夠大,不足以表明北方華創的股東可能面臨極端結果。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of NAURA Technology Group'shistorical trends, as the 31% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 39% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 24% annually. So although NAURA Technology Group is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

當然,另一個看待這些預測的方法是將其放置在行業本身的背景下。我們可以從最新的估計中推斷出,預測預計北方華創將繼續保持歷史趨勢,因爲到2025年底的31%的年化營業收入增長大致與過去五年39%的年增長率相符。與更廣泛的行業相比,分析師的估計(整體)表明,行業營業收入將年增長24%。因此,儘管預計北方華創將維持其營業收入增長率,但它的增長速度顯然將快於更廣泛的行業。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最明顯的結論是,近期業務前景並沒有發生重大變化,因爲分析師們保持了盈利預測,與以前的預測一致。幸運的是,他們還重新確認了公司的營收數字,表明結果與預期相符。此外,我們的數據表明,營業收入預計將比整個行業增長得更快。一致的預期目標價格並沒有發生實質性的變化,這表明公司內在價值在最新的預測中沒有發生重大變化。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for NAURA Technology Group going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

基於這一思路,我們認爲業務的長期前景比明年的盈利更爲重要。在Simply Wall St,我們有針對北方華創到2026年的完整分析師估計,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for NAURA Technology Group you should be aware of.

不過,您始終應該考慮風險。舉個例子,我們發現了一個您需要注意的北方華創的警告信號。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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