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Why Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s (SZSE:002265) Healthy Earnings Aren't As Good As They Seem

Why Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s (SZSE:002265) Healthy Earnings Aren't As Good As They Seem

爲什麼建設工業(雲南)(SZSE:002265)的盈利看起來並不那麼理想
Simply Wall St ·  11/04 08:15

Shareholders didn't seem to be thrilled with Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002265) recent earnings report, despite healthy profit numbers. Our analysis suggests they may be concerned about some underlying details.

股東似乎對建設工業(雲南)股份有限公司(SZSE:002265)最近的盈利報告並不感到高興,儘管利潤數字不錯。我們的分析表明,他們可能擔心一些潛在的細節。

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SZSE:002265 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024
SZSE:002265歷史數據顯示2024年11月4日營業收入和盈利情況

A Closer Look At Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s Earnings

深入了解建設工業(雲南)的盈利情況

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高級財務中,用來衡量公司將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的主要比率是應計比率(來自現金流量表)。該應計比率從給定期間的FCF中減去利潤,並將結果除以該時間段內公司的平均營運資產。你可以將應計比率從現金流量表視爲「非自由現金流利潤比率」。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所建議的要多。這並不意味着我們應該擔心正應計比率,但值得注意的是應計比率相當高的地方。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致利潤降低或利潤增長較少。

For the year to September 2024, Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) had an accrual ratio of 0.28. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥154m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥283.4m. It's worth noting that Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) generated positive FCF of CN¥408m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. The good news for shareholders is that Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

截至2024年9月的一年內,建設工業(雲南)的應計比例爲0.28。因此,我們可以推斷其自由現金流遠不足以覆蓋其法定利潤。過去一年,其實際自由現金流爲15400萬元人民幣的負數,與前述的2.83億元人民幣的盈利形成對比。值得注意的是,建設工業(雲南)在一年前創造了總計40800萬元人民幣的正自由現金流,所以至少他們過去做到了。然而,需要考慮的不僅僅是這些。我們可以看到,飛凡項目影響了其法定利潤,因此也影響了應計比例。對股東的好消息是,建設工業(雲南)的應計比例去年要好得多,因此今年的不佳讀數可能只是盈利和自由現金流之間短期不匹配的情況。因此,一些股東可能正在尋求本年度更強的現金轉換。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan).

注意: 我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊這裏查看我們對雲南建設工業的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常規項目如何影響利潤?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥95m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

考慮到應計比率,雲南建設工業的利潤在過去十二個月中因價值9500萬人民幣的飛凡項目而獲得提振,並不令人過度驚訝。我們不得不承認,更高的利潤通常讓我們感到樂觀,但如果利潤能夠持續下去,我們會更喜歡。我們對全球大多數上市公司進行了數據分析,發現飛凡項目通常是一次性的。這也是意料之中的,因爲這些提振被描述爲「飛凡」。相比於2024年9月,雲南建設工業的利潤中有一部分顯著來自飛凡項目。因此,我們可以推斷,這些飛凡項目使其法定利潤比原本強大得多。

Our Take On Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s Profit Performance

我們對雲南建設工業的利潤表現的看法

Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

雲南建設工業的應計比率較低,但其利潤確實受到飛凡項目的提振。基於上述原因,我們認爲僅僅粗略地查看雲南建設工業的法定利潤可能讓其看起來比實際情況更好一些。考慮到這一點,除非我們深入了解風險,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。例如,雲南建設工業有1個警示標誌,我們認爲您應該注意。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

在這篇文章中,我們已經看到了許多可以削弱利潤數字實用性的因素,並且我們留下了審慎的心態。但是,如果您能夠專注於細節,那麼總能發現更多。一些人認爲高股東回報率是優質企業的良好跡象。儘管這可能需要您進行一些研究,但您可能會發現這個高股東回報率公司列表或至少有一個重要內部持股的股票列表對您有所幫助。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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