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Concerns Surrounding Weihai Guangwei Composites' (SZSE:300699) Performance

Concerns Surrounding Weihai Guangwei Composites' (SZSE:300699) Performance

關於光威復材(SZSE:300699)業績的關注
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/03 16:26

Weihai Guangwei Composites Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300699) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

威海光威複合材料有限公司's(深圳證券交易所代碼:300699)近期強勁的收益並沒有對該股產生太大影響。我們認爲,股東們已經注意到法定利潤數字之外的一些令人擔憂的因素。

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SZSE:300699 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024
SZSE: 300699 2024 年 11 月 4 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Examining Cashflow Against Weihai Guangwei Composites' Earnings

根據威海光威複合材料的收益研究現金流

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的效果的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。簡而言之,該比率從凈利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 「非FCF利潤率」。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的還要多。儘管應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,「應計額較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低」。

Weihai Guangwei Composites has an accrual ratio of 0.25 for the year to September 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥866.9m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥445m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥445m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2024年9月的一年中,威海光威複合材料的應計比率爲0.25。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。儘管該公司報告的利潤爲86690萬元人民幣,但看一下自由現金流就會發現,去年它實際上消耗了44500萬元人民幣。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年44500萬元的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以點擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

Our Take On Weihai Guangwei Composites' Profit Performance

我們對威海光威複合材料盈利表現的看法

Weihai Guangwei Composites' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Weihai Guangwei Composites' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 18% over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, Weihai Guangwei Composites has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

威海光威綜合過去十二個月的應計比率表明現金轉換不理想,從我們對收益的看法來看,這是負數。因此,在我們看來,威海光威複合材料的真正基礎盈利能力實際上可能低於其法定利潤。儘管如此,仍然值得注意的是,其每股收益在過去三年中增長了18%。本文的目標是評估我們在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多需要考慮的地方。請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意所涉及的風險。例如,威海光威複合材料有2個警告標誌(還有一個有點不愉快),我們認爲你應該知道。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Weihai Guangwei Composites' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

這份報告只研究了揭示威海光威複合材料利潤性質的單一因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 「關注資金」,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份擁有大量內幕持股的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall ST 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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