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We Think That There Are More Issues For Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry (SZSE:301141) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

We Think That There Are More Issues For Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry (SZSE:301141) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

我們認爲浙江中科磁業(SZSE:301141)存在的問題不僅僅是收入疲軟。
Simply Wall St ·  11/04 09:27

After announcing weak earnings, Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301141) stock was strong. Despite the strength in the stock, we feel that investors should be cautious about some numbers in the earnings.

在公佈疲軟的收益後,浙江中科磁業有限公司。”s(深圳證券交易所代碼:301141)的股票表現強勁。儘管該股走強,但我們認爲投資者應謹慎對待收益中的某些數字。

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SZSE:301141 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024
SZSE: 301141 2024 年 11 月 4 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Examining Cashflow Against Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry's Earnings

根據浙江中科磁業的收益研究現金流

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如金融迷已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。雖然應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,「應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低」。

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry recorded an accrual ratio of 0.32. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥141m despite its profit of CN¥20.7m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry generated positive FCF of CN¥86m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. One positive for Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

在截至2024年9月的十二個月中,浙江中科磁業的應計比率爲0.32。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流大大低於其法定利潤,這引發了人們對該利潤數字到底有多有用的質疑。在過去的十二個月中,它的自由現金流實際上爲負數,儘管如上所述,其利潤爲2070萬元人民幣,但仍流出14100萬元人民幣。值得注意的是,浙江中科磁業一年前創造了8600萬元人民幣的正FCF,因此至少他們過去曾這樣做過。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。對浙江中科磁業股東來說,一個積極因素是,去年的應計比率明顯改善,這使人們有理由相信它將來可能會恢復更強勁的現金轉換。如果確實如此,股東應尋求在本年度的現金流相對於利潤的改善。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對浙江中科磁業的資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥12m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

該公司去年有不尋常的項目將利潤提高了1200萬元人民幣,這一事實可能在某種程度上可以解釋其應計比率爲何如此疲軟。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當不尋常的物品做出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎一些。當我們計算數千家上市公司的數字時,我們發現,特定年份中不尋常的項目所帶來的提振通常不會在第二年重演。考慮到這個名字,這並不奇怪。截至2024年9月,浙江中科磁業的不尋常項目對其利潤做出了相當大的貢獻。在其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤成爲衡量潛在盈利能力的不良指導。

Our Take On Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry's Profit Performance

我們對浙江中科磁業盈利表現的看法

Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Be aware that Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those can't be ignored...

浙江中科磁業的應計比率較低,但其利潤確實受到不尋常項目的提振。出於上述原因,我們認爲,敷衍地看一眼浙江中科磁業的法定利潤可能會使其看起來比實際水平要好。有鑑於此,如果你想對公司進行更多分析,了解所涉及的風險至關重要。請注意,浙江中科磁業在我們的投資分析中顯示了4個警告信號,其中2個不容忽視...

Our examination of Zhejiang Zhongke Magnetic Industry has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

我們對浙江中科磁業的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。而且,在此基礎上,我們有些懷疑。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 「關注資金」,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份擁有大量內幕持股的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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