We Think Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd (SHSE:600546) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd (SHSE:600546) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Shanxi Coal International Energy Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600546) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
傳奇基金經理李書福(查理·芒格支持的)曾說過:『最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。』 當你考慮一家公司有多風險時,自然要考慮公司的資產負債表,因爲當業務崩潰時,往往涉及到債務。我們注意到山煤國際能源集團有限公司(SHSE:600546)的資產負債表確實有債務。但是,真正的問題是這些債務是否使公司變得有風險。
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般來說,當公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是利用自己的現金流。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以廉價的股票價格稀釋股東權益,以控制債務。話雖如此,最常見的情況是,公司合理管理其債務,並以自己的利益爲出發點。考慮公司的債務水平時的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。
What Is Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd's Net Debt?
山煤國際能源集團有限公司的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd had debt of CN¥8.56b, up from CN¥6.40b in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥9.28b in cash, so it actually has CN¥717.9m net cash.
下面的圖片,你可以點擊查看更詳細的信息,顯示截至2024年9月,山煤國際能源集團有限公司的債務爲85.6億人民幣,比一年前的64億人民幣有所增加。然而,它的資產負債表顯示,它持有92.8億人民幣的現金,因此其實它的淨現金爲71790萬人民幣。
How Healthy Is Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?
山煤國際的資產負債表有多健康?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥11.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥11.7b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥9.28b and CN¥542.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥13.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根據最近報告的資產負債表,山煤國際的負債爲115億人民幣,12個月內到期的負債爲117億人民幣。另一方面,它有92.8億人民幣的現金和54200萬人民幣的應收款項,這些應收款項將在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和近期應收款項的總和多出133億人民幣。
Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥26.6b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
山煤國際的市值爲266億人民幣,因此如果需要,它很可能能夠籌集資金來改善其資產負債表。但是,還是值得仔細觀察其償還債務的能力。儘管它的負債引人注目,山煤國際依然擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它並沒有沉重的債務負擔!
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 55% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
如果管理層無法防止去年EBIT減少55%的情況再次發生,其債務負擔的適度可能對山煤國際變得至關重要。當一家公司看到其收入大幅下降時,有時會發現與貸方的關係變得緊張。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表學習到的關於債務的知識是最多的。但是,最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定山煤國際是否能夠隨着時間的推移增強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想看看專業人士的看法,您可能會對這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告感興趣。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd recorded free cash flow worth 73% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最後,一項業務需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法應對。儘管山煤國際在其資產負債表上擁有淨現金,但我們仍然值得關注它將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們理解它積累(或減少)現金餘額的速度。在最近的三年裏,山煤國際記錄的自由現金流佔EBIT的73%左右,考慮到自由現金流排除了利息和稅費,這大約是正常水平。這筆自由現金流讓公司在適當的時候能夠償還債務。
Summing Up
總之
While Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥717.9m. The cherry on top was that in converted 73% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥2.5b. So we are not troubled with Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
雖然山煤國際的負債超過了流動資產,但它的淨現金爲CN¥71790萬。最值得一提的是,73%的EBIT轉化爲自由現金流,帶來了CN¥25億。因此,我們對山煤國際的債務使用沒有憂慮。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是關注的重點。然而,投資風險並不都存在於資產負債表內,遠不止於此。例如,山煤國際有2個我們認爲您應該注意的警示信號。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
當一切塵埃落定時,有時更容易專注於那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費查看零淨債務的成長股列表。
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