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Recent 8.6% Pullback Isn't Enough to Hurt Long-term Shenzhen AOTO Electronics (SZSE:002587) Shareholders, They're Still up 43% Over 3 Years

Recent 8.6% Pullback Isn't Enough to Hurt Long-term Shenzhen AOTO Electronics (SZSE:002587) Shareholders, They're Still up 43% Over 3 Years

最近8.6%的回撤對奧拓電子(SZSE:002587)的長期股東沒有造成太大影響,他們在3年內仍獲得了43%的回報。
Simply Wall St ·  11/04 15:53

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, Shenzhen AOTO Electronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002587) shareholders have seen the share price rise 39% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (18%, not including dividends).

通過購買指數基金,您可以輕鬆匹配市場回報。但我們許多人敢於夢想獲得更高的回報,並自行構建投資組合。例如,深圳奧拓電子股份有限公司(SZSE:002587)的股東在三年內看到股價上漲了39%,遠遠超過市場的下跌(18%,不包括分紅派息)。

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 8.6%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

由於長期表現良好,但最近出現了8.6%的回撤,讓我們來檢查一下基本面是否與股價相匹配。

Given that Shenzhen AOTO Electronics didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

鑑於深圳奧拓電子在過去十二個月中沒有盈利,我們將關注營業收入增長,以快速了解其業務發展情況。一般來說,沒有利潤的公司預計每年都會實現營業收入增長,並且速度很快。這是因爲快速的營業收入增長很容易推演出可觀的利潤,通常規模相當可觀。

In the last 3 years Shenzhen AOTO Electronics saw its revenue shrink by 14% per year. Despite the lack of revenue growth, the stock has returned 12%, compound, over three years. Unless the company is going to make profits soon, we would be pretty cautious about it.

在過去3年中,深圳奧拓電子的營業收入每年下降了14%。儘管營業收入沒有增長,股票在三年內實現了12%的複合回報。除非公司很快就能盈利,否則我們對它會非常謹慎。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

以下圖片顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化(如果你點擊圖片,可以看到更詳細的信息)。

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SZSE:002587 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 4th 2024
SZSE:002587盈利和營業收入增長2024年11月4日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

你可以在這個免費的互動圖表中看到它的資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而加強(或削弱)。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Shenzhen AOTO Electronics, it has a TSR of 43% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報率(TSR)與股價回報之間的區別。而股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而TSR則包括了股息價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折價的資本籌資或分拆的益處。可以說,TSR提供了股票帶來的回報更全面的圖片。就深圳奧拓電子而言,在過去的3年中,其TSR爲43%。這超過了我們先前提到的股價回報。公司支付的股息因此提升了總股東回報。

A Different Perspective

另一種看法

Investors in Shenzhen AOTO Electronics had a tough year, with a total loss of 11% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 5.2%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shenzhen AOTO Electronics that you should be aware of.

深圳奧拓電子的投資者度過了艱難的一年,總損失達到11%(包括股息),相比市場約5.2%的增長。即使優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在對一家企業的基本指標看到改善之前,才會產生濃厚的興趣。不幸的是,去年的表現可能意味着存在未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去半個世紀的4%年化損失還糟。我們意識到羅斯柴爾德男爵曾說過投資者應該「在街上見血時購買」,但我們提醒投資者首先確保他們在購買一家高質量企業。我發現長期關注股價作爲業績代理非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已確定深圳奧拓電子存在2個警示信號,您應該注意。

Of course Shenzhen AOTO Electronics may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,深圳奧拓電子可能並非最佳買入股票。因此,您可能希望查看這些免費的成長股收藏。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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