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News Flash: 12 Analysts Think Stem, Inc. (NYSE:STEM) Earnings Are Under Threat

News Flash: 12 Analysts Think Stem, Inc. (NYSE:STEM) Earnings Are Under Threat

資訊快訊:有12位分析師認爲Stem, Inc.(紐交所:STEM)的收益受到威脅
Simply Wall St ·  11/04 18:53

The analysts covering Stem, Inc. (NYSE:STEM) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for next year. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting analysts have soured majorly on the business.

覆蓋Stem, Inc. (紐交所:STEM) 的分析師今天向股東傳遞了一劑負能量,通過對明年法定預測進行了重大修訂。營收和每股收益 (EPS) 預測都經歷了大幅調整,表明分析師對業務的看法明顯惡化。

After this downgrade, Stem's twelve analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$465m in 2025. This would be a huge 81% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. The loss per share is anticipated to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 88% to US$0.62. However, before this estimates update, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$551m and US$0.56 per share in losses. So there's been quite a change-up of views after the recent consensus updates, with the analysts making a serious cut to their revenue forecasts while also expecting losses per share to increase.

在此次下調之後,Stem 的十二位分析師目前預測2025年的收入將達到46500萬美元。與過去12個月相比,這將是銷售額大幅提高81%。每股虧損預計在不久的將來將大幅減少,降低88%至0.62美元。然而,在這次估算更新之前,共識曾預期2025年的收入爲55100萬美元,每股虧損爲0.56美元。所以,在最近的共識更新之後,觀點發生了很大變化,分析師們大幅削減了他們對收入的預測,同時也預計每股虧損會增加。

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NYSE:STEM Earnings and Revenue Growth November 4th 2024
紐交所:STEM 2024年11月4日盈利和營收增長

There was no major change to the consensus price target of US$2.07, signalling that the business is performing roughly in line with expectations, despite lower earnings per share forecasts.

共識價格目標保持在2.07美元,表明儘管盈餘每股預測較低,業務仍大致與預期持平。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Stem's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 61% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 45% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 8.4% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Stem is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

現在來看一下更大的圖片,我們可以了解這些預測與過去表現和行業增長預估的對比。分析師們絕對期待Stem的增長加速,預計到2025年底平均增長率爲61%,這在過去五年每年45%的歷史增長率中排名靠前。將之與同行業其他公司相比,預計其年均增長率爲8.4%。考慮到收入預計加速增長,很明顯Stem預計將比同行業增長快得多。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing to note from this downgrade is that the consensus increased its forecast losses next year, suggesting all may not be well at Stem. While analysts did downgrade their revenue estimates, these forecasts still imply revenues will perform better than the wider market. The lack of change in the price target is puzzling in light of the downgrade but, with a serious decline expected next year, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were a bit wary of Stem.

從這次降級中最重要的一點是共識預測了明年的增加損失,這表明在Stem可能並非一切盡如人意。雖然分析師們確實降低了他們的營業收入預測,但這些預測仍然意味着營業收入將表現優於更廣泛的市場。在降級的情況下,價格目標沒有變化,這有點令人困惑,但考慮到明年預期嚴重下滑,如果投資者對Stem有些謹慎,我們也不會感到驚訝。

So things certainly aren't looking great, and you should also know that we've spotted some potential warning signs with Stem, including dilutive stock issuance over the past year. For more information, you can click here to discover this and the 3 other risks we've identified.

因此情況顯然並不樂觀,您還應該知道,我們已經發現了一些可能的警示信號,包括過去一年中有稀釋的股票發行。欲知更多信息,您可以點擊這裏了解我們發現的這一點以及其他3個風險。

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跟蹤管理層是購買還是銷售,是尋找可能達到關鍵點的有趣公司的另一種方法,我們的免費公司列表由內部支持的增長公司組成。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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