B.Riley Financial analyst Anna Glaessgen maintains $Estee Lauder (EL.US)$ with a hold rating, and adjusts the target price from $95 to $70.
According to TipRanks data, the analyst has a success rate of 36.7% and a total average return of -12.1% over the past year.
Furthermore, according to the comprehensive report, the opinions of $Estee Lauder (EL.US)$'s main analysts recently are as follows:
The forecasted performance of Estee Lauder for the first quarter exceeded expectations, but this was eclipsed by the guidance for the second quarter falling short of consensus, along with the retraction of second-half forecasts and a reduction in dividends. The analyst notes that there is currently limited transparency and is looking forward to potential strategic shifts and additional efficiency measures from the incoming executives, which should encompass a more comprehensive restructuring scheme to tackle the company's considerable cost framework.
Projecting the newly established 35 cents per share quarterly dividend and assuming Estee Lauder's commitment to a dividend payout ratio close to 40%, it suggests a net income of $1.2 billion, which translates to an earnings power of $3.50 per share over time. The analyst highlights that it appears to be premature to capitalize on the current price decline, considering the ongoing deceleration and uncertainties in China, coupled with the transition to a new CEO in January.
Estee Lauder has been experiencing a 'persistent' decline in sales, with limited future visibility, prompting management to withdraw financial guidance. The company is grappling with operational deleverage due to lower than anticipated volumes in China and Asia's travel retail sector. This situation suggests that the execution of its strategic plans and the realization of returns may be postponed. It is considered advisable for investors to look for clearer indications of demand recovery before proceeding.
Note:
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Success rate is the number of the analyst's successful ratings, divided by his/her total number of ratings over the past year. A successful rating is one based on if TipRanks' virtual portfolio earned a positive return from the stock. Total average return is the average rate of return that the TipRanks' virtual portfolio has earned over the past year. These portfolios are established based on the analyst's preliminary rating and are adjusted according to the changes in the rating.
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萊利金融分析師Anna Glaessgen維持$雅詩蘭黛 (EL.US)$持有評級,並將目標價從95美元下調至70美元。
根據TipRanks數據顯示,該分析師近一年總勝率為36.7%,總平均回報率為-12.1%。
此外,綜合報道,$雅詩蘭黛 (EL.US)$近期主要分析師觀點如下:
雅詩蘭黛第一季度的預期表現超出了預期,但第二季度的指引低於共識,並伴隨着下半年預測的縮減和分紅派息的減少。分析師指出,目前公司透明度有限,期待新任高管可能實施的戰略轉變和額外效率措施,應該包括更全面的重組計劃,以解決公司相當的成本結構問題。
預測新設立每股35美分的季度股息,並假設雅詩蘭黛將保持接近40%的股息支付比率,則淨利潤爲12億美元,相當於隨着時間推移每股3.50美元的盈利能力。分析師強調,當前價格下跌似乎爲時過早,考慮到中國逐漸減速和不確定性,再加上明年一月新任CEO的任命。
雅詩蘭黛銷售持續下滑,未來前景有限,導致管理層撤回了財務指引。公司由於中國和亞洲旅行零售板塊的成交量低於預期而面臨運營槓桿作用。這種情況表明其戰略計劃的執行和回報的實現可能會延遲。建議投資者在繼續前進之前尋找更明確的需求復甦跡象。
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