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Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology's (SZSE:000004) Cash Burn Situation

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology's (SZSE:000004) Cash Burn Situation

關於國華網安(SZSE:000004)現金燃燒情況,我們並不太擔心的原因
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/05 06:21

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

毫無疑問,持有虧損企業的股份是可以賺錢的。例如,生物科技和採礦勘探公司往往在尋找新的治療方法或礦物發現之前多年虧損。儘管如此,在虧損的企業過快地消耗現金的風險下,任何理智的人都不會忽視。

So should Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology (SZSE:000004) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

那麼,深圳國華網安(SZSE:000004)的股東們應該擔心其現金燃燒嗎?在本文中,我們將現金燃燒定義爲其年度(負)自由現金流,即公司每年用於資助其增長的資金金額。讓我們從業務現金與現金燃燒的相對情況進行檢查。

How Long Is Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology's Cash Runway?

深圳國華網安的現金消耗能夠維持多久?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. As at September 2024, Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology had cash of CN¥64m and no debt. In the last year, its cash burn was CN¥23m. That means it had a cash runway of about 2.8 years as of September 2024. That's decent, giving the company a couple years to develop its business. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

您可以通過將公司的現金金額除以其花費現金的速率來計算公司的現金維持期。截至2024年9月,深圳國華網安的現金爲人民幣6400萬,並無債務。在過去一年中,其現金燃燒爲人民幣2300萬。這意味着截至2024年9月,其現金維持期約爲2.8年。這相當不錯,讓公司有幾年的時間發展其業務。下圖顯示了其現金餘額在過去幾年中的變化。

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SZSE:000004 Debt to Equity History November 4th 2024
SZSE:000004負債權益歷史記錄2024年11月4日

How Well Is Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology Growing?

深圳國華網安的增長表現如何?

We reckon the fact that Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology managed to shrink its cash burn by 34% over the last year is rather encouraging. But the revenue dip of 36% in the same period was a bit concerning. Considering both these factors, we're not particularly excited by its growth profile. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

我們注意到深圳國華網安在過去一年成功將其現金燃燒削減了34%,這是相當令人鼓舞的。但同期營業收入下降了36%,這有些令人擔憂。考慮到這兩個因素,我們對其增長前景並不感到特別興奮。當然,我們只是簡單地看了一下股票的增長指標。您可以查看這篇關於深圳國華網安如何隨時間發展其業務的可視化文章,以了解更多情況。

Can Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology Raise More Cash Easily?

國華網安能夠輕鬆籌集更多現金嗎?

While Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology seems to be in a fairly good position, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

儘管國華網安似乎處於一個相當良好的位置,但考慮如何更容易籌集更多現金仍然值得。發行新股或負債是上市公司爲業務籌集資金最常見的方式之一。上市公司擁有的主要優勢之一是可以向投資者發行股票以籌集現金並資助增長。我們可以將公司的現金燒損與其市值進行比較,以了解公司需要發行多少新股來爲一年的運營籌資。

Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥2.5b, Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology's CN¥23m in cash burn equates to about 0.9% of its market value. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.

由於其市值爲25億人民幣,國華網安2300萬人民幣的現金燒損相當於其市值的約0.9%。因此,它幾乎肯定可以借一點錢來資助明年的增長,或者通過發行少量股票輕鬆籌集現金。

How Risky Is Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology's Cash Burn Situation?

國華網安的現金燒損情況有多大風險?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap suggests that the company is on a good path. While its falling revenue wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.

對於國華網安現金燃燒速度,我們已經相對舒適。例如,我們認爲其現金燒損相對於市值來看,表明公司處於一個良好的軌道。儘管其營業收入下降並不好,但本文提到的其他因素更足以彌補這一指標上的弱點。綜合考慮本報告中提到的各種指標後,我們對公司的現金支出感到相當滿意,因爲它似乎在中期內有望滿足其需求。讀者在投資股票之前需要對商業風險有充分的了解,我們已經發現國華網安存在2個警示信號,潛在股東在將資金投入股票之前應考慮這些信號。

Of course Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

當然,國華網安可能不是最佳的股票購買選擇。因此,您可能希望查看這些公司的免費收藏,這些公司擁有高股東權益回報率,或者查看擁有高內部持股的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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