Kingland TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:000711) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations
Kingland TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:000711) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations
Kingland Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000711) just released a solid earnings report, and the stock displayed some strength. While the profit numbers were good, our analysis has found some concerning factors that shareholders should be aware of.
金蘭科技股份有限公司, Ltd.(深圳證券交易所代碼:000711)剛剛發佈了一份穩健的收益報告,該股表現出一定的走強。儘管利潤數字不錯,但我們的分析發現了一些股東應注意的相關因素。
A Closer Look At Kingland TechnologyLtd's Earnings
仔細看看金蘭科技有限公司的收益
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
在高級財務中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,「應計額較高的公司未來的利潤往往較低」。
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Kingland TechnologyLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 3.11. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥437m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥1.75b. We saw that FCF was CN¥36m a year ago though, so Kingland TechnologyLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, that's not the end of the story. We can look at how unusual items in the profit and loss statement impacted its accrual ratio, as well as explore how dilution is impacting shareholders negatively. One positive for Kingland TechnologyLtd shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.
在截至2024年9月的十二個月中,金蘭科技有限公司的應計比率爲3.11。從統計學上講,這對未來的收益來說確實是負面的。換句話說,該公司在那段時間內沒有產生一點自由現金流。去年,它的自由現金流實際上爲負43700萬元人民幣,而上述利潤爲17.5元人民幣。但是,我們看到一年前的FCF爲3600萬元人民幣,因此Kingland TechnologyLtd過去至少能夠產生正的FCF。但是,這還不是故事的結局。我們可以研究損益表中的不尋常項目如何影響其應計比率,並探討稀釋如何對股東產生負面影響。對Kingland TechnologyLtd股東來說,一個積極因素是,去年的應計比率明顯改善,這使人們有理由相信它將來可能會恢復更強勁的現金轉換。因此,一些股東可能希望在本年度實現更強的現金轉換。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Kingland TechnologyLtd.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對Kingland TechnologyLtd的資產負債表分析。
In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. Kingland TechnologyLtd expanded the number of shares on issue by 179% over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of Kingland TechnologyLtd's EPS by clicking here.
爲了了解每股回報的可能性,必須考慮公司在多大程度上稀釋了股東。與去年相比,金蘭科技有限公司將已發行股票數量增加了179%。結果,其淨收入現在分成了更多的股票。每股收益等每股指標可以幫助我們了解實際股東從公司的利潤中受益的程度,而淨收入水平則使我們能夠更好地了解公司的絕對規模。你可以點擊此處查看金蘭科技有限公司的每股收益圖表。
A Look At The Impact Of Kingland TechnologyLtd's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)
看看金蘭科技有限公司的稀釋對其每股收益(EPS)的影響
Three years ago, Kingland TechnologyLtd lost money. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we don't have a meaningful growth rate because it made a loss a year ago, too. But mathematics aside, it is always good to see when a formerly unprofitable business come good (though we accept profit would have been higher if dilution had not been required). So you can see that the dilution has had a fairly significant impact on shareholders.
三年前,金蘭科技有限公司虧損。而且,即使只關注過去的十二個月,我們也沒有一個有意義的增長率,因爲它在一年前也出現了虧損。但是,拋開數學不談,看看以前無利可圖的企業何時好起來總是件好事(儘管我們承認,如果不要求稀釋,利潤本來會更高)。因此,你可以看到稀釋對股東產生了相當重大的影響。
In the long term, if Kingland TechnologyLtd's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
從長遠來看,如果金蘭科技有限公司的每股收益能夠增加,那麼股價也應該增加。但是,如果其利潤增加而每股收益保持不變(甚至下降),那麼股東可能看不到太多好處。對於普通零售股東來說,每股收益是檢查您假設的公司利潤 「份額」 的好方法。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?
Kingland TechnologyLtd's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥282m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. In the twelve months to September 2024, Kingland TechnologyLtd had a big unusual items expense. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.
Kingland TechnologyLtd的利潤來自不尋常的項目,在過去的十二個月中,利潤減少了28200萬元人民幣。如果這是非現金支出,如果現金流保持強勁,本來可以改善應計比率,因此,再加上平淡無奇的應計比率,就不太好了。儘管由於不尋常項目而產生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一線希望。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。鑑於這些單列項目被認爲不尋常,這並不奇怪。在截至2024年9月的十二個月中,金蘭科技有限公司有一筆巨額的不尋常物品支出。在其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤看起來比其基本盈利能力差。
Our Take On Kingland TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance
我們對金蘭科技有限公司盈利表現的看法
Summing up, Kingland TechnologyLtd's unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings were temporarily depressed, and its accrual ratio indicates a lack of free cash flow relative to profit. And the dilution means that per-share results are weaker than the bottom line might imply. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Kingland TechnologyLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Kingland TechnologyLtd you should be aware of.
總而言之,Kingland TechnologyLtd的不尋常項目表明,其法定收益暫時受到抑制,其應計比率表明自由現金流相對利潤不足。而稀釋意味着每股業績低於底線可能暗示的水平。出於上述原因,我們認爲,敷衍地看一眼Kingland TechnologyLTD的法定利潤可能會使其看起來比實際水平要好。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了兩個你應該注意的Kingland TechnologyLTD警告信號。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在這篇文章中,我們研究了許多可能損害利潤數字效用的因素,我們採取了謹慎的態度。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 「關注資金」,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份擁有高股本回報率的公司的免費集合,或者這份內部所有權高的股票清單。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。