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Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made's (SHSE:605555) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made's (SHSE:605555) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

寧波德昌電機制造(SHSE:605555)的穩健盈利可能建立在脆弱的基礎之上
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/04 16:39

Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:605555) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

寧波德昌電氣機械製造有限公司(SHSE:605555)的健康利潤數字對投資者並沒有什麼意外。我們認爲股東已經注意到一些超出法定利潤數字的令人擔憂的因素。

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SHSE:605555 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024
SHSE:605555營收歷史數據2024年11月4日

A Closer Look At Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made's Earnings

詳細觀察寧波德昌電氣機械製造的盈利狀況

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

許多投資者沒有聽說過從現金流計算的應計比率,但這實際上是一個衡量公司利潤在特定期間內是否由自由現金流(FCF)支持的有用度量。簡單地說,此比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,再將該數字除以公司在該期間內的平均營運資產。你可以把從現金流計算的應計比率看作是「非自由現金流利潤比率」。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,當一家公司的應計比率變爲負數時,這實際上是一件好事,但如果應計比率是正數,則是一件壞事。雖然應計比率爲正數並不是問題,這表明一定程度的非現金利潤,但高應計比率被認爲是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤無法與現金流相匹配。值得注意的是,一些學術證據表明,高應計比率通常是近期利潤的一個不好的跡象。

For the year to September 2024, Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made had an accrual ratio of 0.28. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥61m despite its profit of CN¥360.4m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥61m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2024年9月,寧波德昌電氣機械製造的應計比率爲0.28。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠低於其法定利潤,這讓我們對利潤作爲指導的實用性產生了懷疑。在過去的十二個月中,儘管利潤達到了人民幣36040萬,但其實際上出現了負的自由現金流,流出了6100萬人民幣,正如上文所述。從去年的負自由現金流經歷之後,我們想象一些股東可能會對6100萬人民幣的現金燃燒,表示今年是否存在高風險。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

Our Take On Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made's Profit Performance

我們對寧波德昌電機制造的盈利表現提出看法

Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 21% EPS growth in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

在過去的一年裏,寧波德昌電機制造未將其利潤大部分轉化爲自由現金流,這可能被一些投資者認爲相當不理想。因此,我們認爲寧波德昌電機制造的法定利潤可能比其潛在盈利能力更好。但至少持有者可以從過去一年21%的每股收益增長中得到些許安慰。最終,要全面了解公司,考慮的因素不僅限於以上內容。記住,在分析股票時,值得注意所涉及的風險。每家公司都存在風險,我們已發現寧波德昌電機制造的2個警示跡象(其中1個與我們不太合適!)你應該知道。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Ningbo Dechang Electrical Machinery Made's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

本提示僅觀察了一個揭示寧波德昌電機制造盈利性質的因素,但如果能專注細枝末節,總能發現更多。一些人認爲高淨資產回報率是優質企業的良好跡象。因此,您可能希望查看這些擁有高淨資產回報率的公司的免費系列,或者這些持有高股權的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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