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Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology (SZSE:300652)

Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology (SZSE:300652)

杭州雷迪克節能技術(SZSE:300652)的穩健盈利可能並不能完全揭示全部故事。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/04 18:17

Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300652 ) stock didn't jump after it announced some healthy earnings. We did some digging and believe investors may be worried about some underlying factors in the report.

杭州雷迪克節能技術有限公司(SZSE:300652)的股票在宣佈一些健康收益後沒有大漲。我們進行了一些調查,認爲投資者可能擔心報告中一些潛在因素。

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SZSE:300652 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024
SZSE:300652營收和利潤歷史數據2024年11月4日

Zooming In On Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology's Earnings

聚焦杭州雷迪克節能技術的利潤

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用於衡量公司將其盈利轉換成自由現金流(FCF)的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。爲了得出應計比率,我們首先從一個期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以期間的平均經營資產。這個比率告訴我們公司利潤有多少不受自由現金流支持。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

這意味着負的計提比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所暗示的要多。雖然擁有正的計提比率毫無問題,表明某種程度的非現金利潤,但高的計提比率則是一個壞信號,因爲這表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,高的計提比率對近期利潤總體上是一個壞兆頭。

Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.20 for the year to September 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥15m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥120.4m. We saw that FCF was CN¥58m a year ago though, so Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

杭州雷迪克節能技術截至2024年9月的年度應計比率爲0.20。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流遠低於法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。去年實際上出現負的自由現金流爲1500萬人民幣,與上述12040萬人民幣的利潤形成對比。不過,一年前看到自由現金流爲5800萬人民幣,所以杭州雷迪克節能技術至少過去有能力生成正的自由現金流。然而,還有其他需要考慮的因素。應計比率在一定程度上反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。單擊此處查看我們對杭州雷迪克節能技術的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常規項目如何影響利潤?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥17m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

考慮到應計比率,雷迪克過去十二個月的利潤受到價值爲1700萬人民幣的飛凡項目推動,並不是十分令人驚訝。雖然利潤增加總是令人高興,但來自飛凡項目的大額貢獻有時會減弱我們的熱情。當我們對成千上萬家上市公司進行了數據分析後,我們發現某一年份中來自飛凡項目的增值通常不會在下一年重複出現。正如你所期望的那樣,鑑於這些增值被描述爲「飛凡」,假設這些飛凡項目在當前年份不再出現,我們因此預計利潤明年將較弱(在沒有業務增長的情況下)。

Our Take On Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology's Profit Performance

我們對雷迪克的利潤表現的看法

Summing up, Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you'd like to know more about Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Hang Zhou Radical Energy-Saving Technology (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.

總結一下,雷迪克從飛凡項目中獲得了利潤的良好提升,但無法用自由現金流匹配其名義利潤。基於上述原因,我們認爲僅僅匆匆一瞥雷迪克的利潤報表,可能會讓其在基本水平上看起來比實際情況更好。如果您想了解更多關於雷迪克作爲一個業務的情況,重要的是要意識到它可能面臨的任何風險。我們的分析顯示雷迪克能源節能技術存在3個警告信號(其中一個讓我們有點不安!),我們強烈建議您在投資之前查看它們。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

在本文中,我們已經查看了許多影響利潤數據實用性的因素,並對此持謹慎態度。但是,還有許多其他方法可以了解公司的情況。例如,許多人認爲高股權回報率是企業經濟有利的指標,而其他人則喜歡「跟着錢」的思路,並尋找內部人員購買的股票。雖然這可能需要一些您自己的研究,但是您可能會發現這個由高股權回報率的公司組成的免費集合,或者這個擁有重要內部人員持股的股票列表有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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