Tianjin Meiteng Technology (SHSE:688420) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues
Tianjin Meiteng Technology (SHSE:688420) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues
The market shrugged off Tianjin Meiteng Technology Co., Ltd's (SHSE:688420) solid earnings report. We did some digging and believe investors may be worried about some underlying factors in the report.
市場對天津美騰科技有限公司(SHSE:688420)的強勁盈利報告不以爲然。我們進行了一些深入調查,認爲投資者可能對報告中的一些潛在因素感到擔憂。
A Closer Look At Tianjin Meiteng Technology's Earnings
對天津美騰科技盈利的更深入分析
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
在高端金融中,用於衡量公司如何將報告的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(從現金流量表中)。簡單地說,該比率將FCF減去淨利潤,然後將該數字除以該期間公司的平均運營資產。該比率向我們展示了公司利潤超過FCF的程度。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,當一個公司應記比率爲負數時,實際上這被視爲一件好事,而如果該比率爲正數則被視爲一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心正的應記比率,但值得注意的是,當應計比率相當高時,引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇論文"高應計的公司未來的盈利能力較差"。
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Tianjin Meiteng Technology recorded an accrual ratio of 0.23. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥61m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥75.6m. We also note that Tianjin Meiteng Technology's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥61m. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
截至2024年9月的12個月內,天津美騰科技的應計比率爲0.23。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流遠低於法定利潤,這並不是一件好事。過去一年,它實際上有負的自由現金流爲6100萬人民幣,而前述的利潤爲7560萬人民幣。我們還注意到,天津美騰科技去年的自由現金流實際上是負的,因此我們可以理解如果股東對其流出6100萬人民幣感到困擾。然而,這並不是唯一需要考慮的因素。我們可以看到,飛凡項目影響了它的法定利潤,因此影響了應計比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Tianjin Meiteng Technology.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。點擊這裏查看我們對天津美騰科技的資產負債表分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常規項目如何影響利潤?
The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥15m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Tianjin Meiteng Technology's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
公司在過去一年中因飛凡項目而增加了1500萬人民幣的淨利潤,這一事實可能在一定程度上解釋了其計提比例爲何如此疲弱。雖然我們喜歡看到利潤的增長,但當飛凡項目作出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎。在對全球絕大多數上市公司進行分析時,我們發現顯著的飛凡項目通常不會重複。這並不奇怪,畢竟名字就是如此。我們可以看到,天津美騰科技在截至2024年9月的一年中,積極的飛凡項目相對於其利潤來說是非常顯著的。因此,我們可以推測,飛凡項目使其法定利潤大大強於本應達到的水平。
Our Take On Tianjin Meiteng Technology's Profit Performance
我們對天津美騰科技的利潤表現的看法
Tianjin Meiteng Technology had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. Considering all this we'd argue Tianjin Meiteng Technology's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Tianjin Meiteng Technology you should be mindful of and 2 of these bad boys shouldn't be ignored.
天津美騰科技的計提比例較弱,但其利潤確實受到了飛凡項目的推動。考慮到這一切,我們認爲天津美騰科技的利潤可能給人一種過於寬鬆的可持續盈利水平的印象。鑑於此,如果你想對該公司進行更多分析,了解涉及的風險至關重要。舉個例子:我們發現天津美騰科技有3個警告信號,你應該保持警惕,其中2個警告信號不容忽視。
Our examination of Tianjin Meiteng Technology has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
我們對天津美騰科技的考察集中在某些因素上,這些因素可能使其收益看起來比實際更好。在這一基礎上,我們持懷疑態度。但還有很多其他方式可以了解一家公司的情況。一些人認爲,高股本回報率是優質業務的良好標誌。因此你可能希望查看這份高股本回報率公司的免費合集,或者查看這份高內部持股的股票清單。
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