Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd's (SHSE:603203) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 15% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd's (SHSE:603203) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 15% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, long term Quick Intelligent Equipment Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603203) shareholders have enjoyed a 79% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 14% (not including dividends).
股票挑選者通常尋找能夠超越更廣泛市場的股票。 買入被低估的業務是獲得超額回報的一種途徑。 例如,長揸快克智能設備有限公司(SHSE:603203)的股東在過去五年中享受到79%的股價上漲,這遠遠超過了約14%的市場回報(不包括分紅派息)。
In light of the stock dropping 7.0% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.
鑑於該股票在過去一週下跌了7.0%,我們希望調查更長期的情況,看看基本面是否推動了公司積極的五年回報。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
在他的文章《Graham和Doddsville的超級投資者》中,禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性反映一家企業的價值。一種不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對一家公司的看法如何變化是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價變動進行比較。
During five years of share price growth, Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 2.6% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 12% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.
在五年的股價增長期間,快克智能設備有限公司的每股收益(EPS)年均複合增長率爲2.6%。 這個EPS增長低於12%的股票平均年增長率。這表明市場參與者如今對該公司的評價更高。 而考慮到增長的業績,這並不令人感到震驚。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。
This free interactive report on Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
這份關於快克智能設備有限公司的收益、營業收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一份很好的起點,如果您想進一步調查這隻股票。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd's TSR for the last 5 years was 104%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
考慮總股東回報以及任何給定股票的股價回報是很重要的。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而總股東回報(TSR)則包括分紅的價值(假設其已再投資)以及任何折價融資或拆分的好處。因此,對於支付慷慨分紅的企業,總股東回報往往遠高於股價回報。快克智能設備有限公司最近五年的總股東回報爲104%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。而且,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While the broader market gained around 5.2% in the last year, Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd shareholders lost 6.3% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 15%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
儘管整體市場在過去一年中上漲了約5.2%,但快克智能設備有限公司的股東損失了6.3%(即使包括分紅)。然而,請記住,即使是最好的股票有時在十二個月的時間裏也會表現不佳。從長期來看,投資者不會感到太沮喪,因爲他們在五年內每年獲得了15%的回報。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此檢查基本數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象可能是值得的。我發現長期觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們發現快克智能設備有限公司有2個警告信號(1個不能忽視!),您在這裏投資之前應該注意。
We will like Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些大額內部人士買入,我們會更喜歡快克智能設備有限公司。在我們等待的同時,可以查看這份免費名單,裏面有最近有相當大的內部人士買入的被低估股票(主要是小盤股)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。