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We Don't Think Datang Telecom Technology's (SHSE:600198) Earnings Should Make Shareholders Too Comfortable

We Don't Think Datang Telecom Technology's (SHSE:600198) Earnings Should Make Shareholders Too Comfortable

我們認爲大唐電信技術(SHSE:600198)的收益不應該讓股東感到太舒服
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/06 06:08

Datang Telecom Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600198) posted some decent earnings, but shareholders didn't react strongly. We think that they might be concerned about some underlying details that our analysis found.

大唐電信技術股份有限公司(SHSE:600198)發佈了一些體面的收益,但股東們並沒有強烈反應。我們認爲他們可能關注到了我們分析找到的一些潛在細節。

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SHSE:600198 Earnings and Revenue History November 5th 2024
SHSE:600198 2024年11月5日的收益和營業收入歷史數據

A Closer Look At Datang Telecom Technology's Earnings

對大唐電信技術收益的更詳細觀察

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

許多投資者沒有聽說過來自現金流的計提比率,但實際上它是衡量公司利潤在給定期間內如何得到自由現金流(FCF)支持的有用指標。該計提比率從給定期間的FCF中減去利潤,然後將結果除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。您可將來自現金流的計提比率視爲「非FCF利潤比率」。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負的計提率是件好事,因爲它表明該公司所帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所顯示的要多。雖然高於零的計提率沒有什麼大礙,但我們認爲當公司的計提率相對較高時值得注意。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高計提率往往導致利潤更少或者更少的利潤增長。

Datang Telecom Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.30 for the year to September 2024. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥236m despite its profit of CN¥75.2m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥236m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

對於截至2024年9月的一年,大唐電信技術的計提比率爲0.30。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠低於其法定利潤,這讓我們對利潤作爲指導的實用性產生了懷疑。在過去的十二個月中,儘管利潤爲7520萬人民幣,但自由現金流爲負數,流出了23600萬人民幣。考慮到去年的負面自由現金流,我們想一些股東可能會懷疑,今年的2.36億人民幣現金燃燒是否暗示着高風險。話雖如此,故事的背後還有更多。我們可以看到一些飛凡項目影響了其法定利潤,因此也影響了計提比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Datang Telecom Technology.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊這裏查看我們對大唐電信技術資產負債表的分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常規項目如何影響利潤?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥42m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Datang Telecom Technology's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

公司在過去一年中飛凡項目提振了4200萬元盈利,這可能在一定程度上解釋了其應計比率如此之弱。我們不能否認,更高的利潤通常讓我們感到樂觀,但我們更希望利潤能夠持續。當我們分析全球大多數上市公司時,發現重大的飛凡項目通常不會重複出現。正如你所期望的那樣,這些提振被描述爲「飛凡」。我們可以看到,大唐電信技術的積極飛凡項目相對於其2024年9月度的盈利來說是相當顯著的。因此,我們可以推斷,這些飛凡項目使其法定盈利明顯強於其本應盈利水平。

Our Take On Datang Telecom Technology's Profit Performance

關於大唐電信技術的盈利表現

Summing up, Datang Telecom Technology received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Datang Telecom Technology's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Datang Telecom Technology, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

總的來說,大唐電信技術從飛凡項目中獲得了盈利的良好提振,但無法用自由現金流匹配其賬面利潤。基於上述原因,我們認爲對大唐電信技術的法定盈利粗略看一眼可能會讓其看起來比真實水平好一些。因此,如果您想深入研究這支股票,考慮其所面臨的任何風險至關重要。在投資風險方面,我們已經確定了大唐電信技術存在2個警示信號,了解這些信號應成爲您投資過程的一部分。

Our examination of Datang Telecom Technology has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

我們對大唐電信技術的審查側重於一些因素,這些因素可能讓其盈利看起來比實際情況好。基於此,我們對此持懷疑態度。但有許多其他方式可以了解一家公司。例如,許多人認爲高股東回報率表明有利的商業經濟,而其他人則喜歡「跟着錢走」並尋找內部人在買入的股票。因此,您可能希望查看此提供高股東回報率公司組合的系列,或者查看這份持有高內部人士所有權的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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