There May Be Reason For Hope In Zhejiang Zomax Transmission's (SHSE:603767) Disappointing Earnings
There May Be Reason For Hope In Zhejiang Zomax Transmission's (SHSE:603767) Disappointing Earnings
Zhejiang Zomax Transmission Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603767) recent soft profit numbers didn't appear to worry shareholders, as the stock price showed strength. However, we think the company is showing some signs that things are more promising than they seem.
中馬傳動(SHSE:603767)最近的盈利數字似乎並未引起股東的擔憂,因爲股價表現強勁。然而,我們認爲公司正在顯示一些跡象,表明情況比看起來更有希望。
Examining Cashflow Against Zhejiang Zomax Transmission's Earnings
檢查現金流量與中馬傳動的盈利情況
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
用於衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的一項關鍵財務比率是應計比率。要獲得應計比率,我們首先將某一時期的FCF從利潤中減去,然後將該數字除以該時期平均經營資產。您可以將來自現金流的應計比率視爲「非FCF獲利比例」。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,當公司的應計負債比率爲負時,實際上是一件好事,但如果其應計負債比率爲正,那就是一件壞事。雖然應計負債比率爲正不是問題,表明某種程度的非現金利潤,但高應計負債比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲這表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計負債比率往往導致利潤較低或利潤增長較少。
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Zhejiang Zomax Transmission recorded an accrual ratio of -0.10. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥162m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥56.8m. Zhejiang Zomax Transmission's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.
在截至2024年9月的十二個月中,中馬傳動的預付款比率爲-0.10。這意味着它有良好的現金轉換,表明其自由現金流去年明顯超過了利潤。事實上,去年它的自由現金流達到了16200萬元人民幣,遠遠超過了其5680萬元人民幣的法定利潤。中馬傳動的自由現金流在過去一年中有所改善,這通常是一個好的跡象。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Zomax Transmission.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強勢。點擊此處查看我們對中馬傳動的資產負債表分析。
Our Take On Zhejiang Zomax Transmission's Profit Performance
我們對中馬傳動的盈利表現有何看法
As we discussed above, Zhejiang Zomax Transmission has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Zhejiang Zomax Transmission's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And we are pleased to note that EPS is at least heading in the right direction over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Zhejiang Zomax Transmission, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Zhejiang Zomax Transmission, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.
如上所述,中馬傳動的自由現金流與利潤相比完全令人滿意。基於這一觀察結果,我們認爲中馬傳動的法定利潤實際上低估了其盈利潛力!我們很高興地注意到過去三年中每股收益至少呈現出正確的方向。本文的目標是評估我們能否依靠法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多要考慮的地方。如果您想深入了解中馬傳動,還應該了解它目前面臨的風險。在投資風險方面,我們已經識別出中馬傳動的一個警告信號,了解這個信號應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Zhejiang Zomax Transmission's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
這份備註僅針對一個可揭示中馬傳動盈利本質的因素進行了考察。但還有許多其他方式可以幫助您了解一家公司。有些人認爲高淨資產回報率是質量企業的一個良好標誌。因此,您可能希望查看這份以高淨資產回報率爲特點的公司的免費收集,或者查看這份具有高內部持股的股票清單。
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