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Is Jinhai Medical Technology (HKG:2225) A Risky Investment?

Is Jinhai Medical Technology (HKG:2225) A Risky Investment?

金海醫療科技(HKG:2225)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  11/05 18:12

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jinhai Medical Technology Limited (HKG:2225) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 「永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。」當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,金海醫療科技有限公司(HKG: 2225)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Jinhai Medical Technology's Debt?

金海醫療科技的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Jinhai Medical Technology had S$7.47m of debt, an increase on S$1.87m, over one year. However, it does have S$17.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of S$10.2m.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年6月,金海醫療科技在一年內有747萬新元的債務,比187萬新元有所增加。但是,它確實有1770萬新元的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲1,020萬新元。

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SEHK:2225 Debt to Equity History November 5th 2024
SEHK: 2225 2024 年 11 月 5 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Jinhai Medical Technology's Balance Sheet?

金海醫療科技的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Jinhai Medical Technology had liabilities of S$24.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of S$3.05m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$17.7m as well as receivables valued at S$16.7m due within 12 months. So it can boast S$7.27m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,金海醫療科技在12個月內到期的負債爲2410萬新元,12個月以後到期的負債爲305萬新元。除了這些債務外,它有1770萬新元的現金以及價值1670萬新元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有比總負債多727萬新元的流動資產。

This state of affairs indicates that Jinhai Medical Technology's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the S$1.50b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Jinhai Medical Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Jinhai Medical Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

這種狀況表明,金海醫療科技的資產負債表看起來相當穩健,因爲其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。因此,儘管很難想象這家15.0億新元的公司正在爲現金而苦苦掙扎,但我們仍然認爲值得監控其資產負債表。簡而言之,金海醫療科技擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是金海醫療科技的收益。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

In the last year Jinhai Medical Technology wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 205%, to S$60m. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!

去年,金海醫療科技在息稅前利潤水平上沒有盈利,但成功將其收入增長了205%,達到6000萬新元。當談到收入增長時,這就像打出這場比賽的三分球一樣!

So How Risky Is Jinhai Medical Technology?

那麼金海醫療科技的風險有多大?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And in the last year Jinhai Medical Technology had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of S$1.6m and booked a S$10m accounting loss. With only S$10.2m on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. The good news for shareholders is that Jinhai Medical Technology has dazzling revenue growth, so there's a very good chance it can boost its free cash flow in the years to come. While unprofitable companies can be risky, they can also grow hard and fast in those pre-profit years. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Jinhai Medical Technology that you should be aware of before investing here.

我們毫不懷疑,總的來說,虧損公司比盈利的公司風險更大。說實話,去年金海醫療科技出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。同期,它的自由現金流出爲負160萬新元,會計虧損爲1000萬新元。由於資產負債表上只有1020萬新元,看來它需要很快再次籌集資金。對股東來說,好消息是,金海醫療科技的收入增長令人眼花繚亂,因此它很有可能在未來幾年增加自由現金流。儘管無利可圖的公司可能存在風險,但它們也可能在盈利前的年份中艱難而快速地發展。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們發現了金海醫療科技的一個警告信號,在投資這裏之前,你應該注意這一點。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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