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Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's (SZSE:002903) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's (SZSE:002903) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

玉環機牀(深交所:002903)的問題不僅僅是利潤下滑
Simply Wall St ·  11/05 19:01

A lackluster earnings announcement from Yuhuan CNC Machine Tool Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002903) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

宇環數控(SZSE:002903)上週發佈的業績公告遜色一些,但並沒有導致股價下跌。然而,我們認爲投資者應該注意一些可能令人擔憂的潛在因素。

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SZSE:002903 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024
SZSE:002903的營業收入和盈利歷史記錄於2024年11月6日

Examining Cashflow Against Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's Earnings

審查宇環數控的現金流與盈利情況

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的一項關鍵財務比率是應計比率。要獲得應計比率,我們首先將某一時期的FCF從利潤中減去,然後將該數字除以該時期平均經營資產。您可以將來自現金流的應計比率視爲「非FCF獲利比例」。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所顯示的更多。雖然擁有正的應計比率並不是問題,表明一定程度的非現金利潤,但高應計比率可能是一件壞事,因爲這表明紙面利潤不能得到現金流支持。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往導致較低的利潤或利潤增長率。

For the year to September 2024, Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd had an accrual ratio of -0.12. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥93m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥15.4m. Given that Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥93m would seem to be a step in the right direction. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2024年9月,宇環數控的計提比率爲-0.12。因此,其法定盈利明顯低於其自由現金流。在該期間內,其產生了9300萬人民幣的自由現金流,遠遠超過了其1540萬人民幣的報告利潤。考慮到宇環數控在之前對應期間的自由現金流爲負值,達到9300萬人民幣的滾動十二個月結果似乎是朝着正確方向邁出的一步。話雖如此,事情並不止於此。我們可以看到飛凡因素影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了計提比率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。

Surprisingly, given Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥12m in unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

鑑於宇環數控的應計比率意味着強勁的現金轉換能力,其紙面利潤實際上由飛凡項目增加了1200萬人民幣。 雖然獲得更高利潤總是件好事,但飛凡項目所貢獻的大部分利潤有時會減弱我們的熱情。 當我們分析了全球大多數上市公司時,我們發現顯著的飛凡項目通常不會重複出現,這一點並不奇怪,考慮到其名稱。 我們可以看到,相對於2024年9月的利潤來看,宇環數控的正面飛凡項目在很大程度上是顯著的。 其他一切相同的情況下,這可能會對使法定利潤成爲核心盈利能力的指導可能會產生負面影響。

Our Take On Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's Profit Performance

我們對宇環數控的利潤表現的看法

In conclusion, Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd.

總之,宇環數控的應計比率表明其法定利潤質量良好,但利潤受到飛凡項目提振。 基於這些因素,我們認爲宇環數控的法定利潤很少會使其看起來比實際情況更弱。 鑑於這一點,如果您想對該公司進行更多分析,了解涉及的風險是至關重要的。 例如,我們發現了4個警示信號,您應該仔細觀察,以更好地了解宇環數控。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

在本文中,我們已經考慮了許多因素,這些因素可能會影響利潤數字作爲業務指南的效用。但如果您有能力專注於細節,總是可以發現更多。例如,許多人認爲高淨資產回報率是有利的業務經濟指標,而其他人則喜歡「跟隨資金」並尋找內部人員正在買入的股票。儘管這可能需要您進行一些研究,但您可能會發現這個免費的高淨資產回報率的公司集合,或者這個持有重要內部股權的股票清單是有用的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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