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Why Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:301421) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:301421) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

南京波長光電科技有限公司(SZSE:301421)搖搖欲墜的收益只是其問題的開始
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/06 09:18

The subdued market reaction suggests that Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301421) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

市場反應疲軟,表明南京波長光電科技股份有限公司(SZSE:301421)最近的收益沒有任何驚喜。我們認爲投資者擔心一些潛在的收益弱點。

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SZSE:301421 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024
SZSE:301421的收益和營業收入歷史數據至2024年11月6日

Zooming In On Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's Earnings

聚焦南京波長光電科技有限公司的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高端金融中,用於衡量公司如何將報告的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(從現金流量表中)。簡單地說,該比率將FCF減去淨利潤,然後將該數字除以該期間公司的平均運營資產。該比率向我們展示了公司利潤超過FCF的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負的應計負債比率對公司而言是正面的,正的應計負債比率則是負面的。這並不是要暗示我們應該擔心正的應計負債比率,但值得注意的是應計負債比率相當高。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文:「應計負債較高的公司未來不太可能有高利潤」。

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.39. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥133m despite its profit of CN¥42.3m, mentioned above. We also note that Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥133m.

截至2024年9月,南京波長光電科技有限公司的應計比率爲0.39。一般而言,這對未來的盈利性不利。換句話說,該公司在那段時間內並未產生任何自由現金流。在過去的12個月中,儘管盈利達到4230萬元,但實際上自由現金流是負的,流出了13300萬元,提及的。我們還注意到,南京波長光電科技有限公司去年的自由現金流也是負的,因此如果股東對其1.33億元的流出感到困擾,我們也能理解。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

Our Take On Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

關於南京波長光電科技有限公司的盈利表現

As we discussed above, we think Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd at this point in time. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd.

如上所述,我們認爲南京波長光電科技有限公司的收益並不受到自由現金流的支持,這可能會引起一些投資者的關注。因此,我們認爲南京波長光電科技有限公司的基本盈利能力很可能低於其法定利潤。不幸的是,其每股收益在過去十二個月下降。最終,如果您想正確了解公司,不僅需要考慮以上因素,還需要考慮更多因素。因此,儘管盈利質量很重要,但同樣重要的是考慮當前南京波長光電科技有限公司面臨的風險。爲了幫助您,我們發現了3個警示信號(其中有2個有點令人不快!),在購買南京波長光電科技有限公司的股票之前,您應該注意這些。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

這份筆記只關注了一個揭示南京波長光電科技有限公司利潤性質的因素。但如果您能集中精力關注細枝末節,總能發現更多。例如,許多人認爲高淨資產回報率是良好商業經濟的指標,而另一些人喜歡『跟隨資金』,查找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然這可能需要您做一些研究,但您可能會發現這個擁有高淨資產回報率的公司集合,或者這份擁有重要內部持股的股票清單很有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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