Is Gosuncn Technology Group (SZSE:300098) A Risky Investment?
Is Gosuncn Technology Group (SZSE:300098) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Gosuncn Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300098) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 「永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。」因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,高新科技集團有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:300098)確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會變得有風險。資本主義的重要組成部分是 「創造性破壞」 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然很痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事就是綜合考慮其現金和債務。
How Much Debt Does Gosuncn Technology Group Carry?
Gosuncn 科技集團揹負了多少債務?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Gosuncn Technology Group had debt of CN¥437.0m, up from CN¥413.1m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥418.6m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥18.4m.
你可以點擊下圖查看更多細節,該圖片顯示,截至2024年9月,高陽科技集團的債務爲43700萬元人民幣,高於一年內的41310萬元人民幣。但是,由於其現金儲備爲41860萬元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲1840萬元人民幣。
How Healthy Is Gosuncn Technology Group's Balance Sheet?
Gosuncn 科技集團的資產負債表有多健康?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Gosuncn Technology Group had liabilities of CN¥1.59b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥400.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥418.6m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.91b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥330.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根據上次報告的資產負債表,Gosuncn科技集團的負債爲15.9元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲40000萬元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有41860萬元人民幣的現金以及價值19.1元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的流動資產實際上比總負債多出33060萬元人民幣。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Gosuncn Technology Group could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. But either way, Gosuncn Technology Group has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Gosuncn Technology Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
這種短期流動性表明,由於其資產負債表遠未緊張,Gosuncn Technology Group可能會輕鬆還清債務。但是無論哪種方式,Gosuncn科技集團幾乎沒有淨負債,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益將決定Gosuncn Technology Group未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Over 12 months, Gosuncn Technology Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.6b, which is a fall of 17%. That's not what we would hope to see.
在過去的12個月中,Gosuncn科技集團在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入降至16元人民幣,下降了17%。這不是我們希望看到的。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Gosuncn Technology Group's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥182m. Looking on the brighter side, the business has adequate liquid assets, which give it time to grow and develop before its debt becomes a near-term issue. Still, we'd be more encouraged to study the business in depth if it already had some free cash flow. This one is a bit too risky for our liking. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Gosuncn Technology Group .
在過去的十二個月中,Gosuncn科技集團不僅收入下滑,而且還產生了負的息稅前收益(EBIT)。具體而言,息稅前利潤虧損爲18200萬元人民幣。從好的方面來看,該企業擁有充足的流動資產,這使其有時間在債務成爲短期問題之前進行增長和發展。儘管如此,如果該業務已經有一定的自由現金流,我們將更鼓勵我們深入研究該業務。這個有點太冒險了,不符合我們的喜好。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。爲此,你應該注意我們在Gosuncn科技集團發現的1個警告信號。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。
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