Freewon ChinaLtd's (SHSE:688678) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues
Freewon ChinaLtd's (SHSE:688678) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues
The stock price didn't jump after Freewon China Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688678) posted decent earnings last week. We did some digging and believe investors may be worried about some underlying factors in the report.
Zooming In On Freewon ChinaLtd's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Freewon ChinaLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.24 for the year to September 2024. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥363m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥103.5m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥363m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥13m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Freewon ChinaLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.
Our Take On Freewon ChinaLtd's Profit Performance
Summing up, Freewon ChinaLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Freewon ChinaLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you want to do dive deeper into Freewon ChinaLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Freewon ChinaLtd (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable).
Our examination of Freewon ChinaLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.