We Think Vanfund Urban Investment and Development's (SZSE:000638) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
We Think Vanfund Urban Investment and Development's (SZSE:000638) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
Vanfund Urban Investment and Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000638) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. We did some digging and found some further encouraging factors that investors will like.
萬豐城市投資與發展有限公司(深交所:000638)最近公佈了一些強勁的業績,市場反應積極。我們進行了深入研究,發現了一些投資者會喜歡的進一步鼓舞人心的因素。
Zooming In On Vanfund Urban Investment and Development's Earnings
細看萬豐城市投資與發展的盈利情況
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
在高端金融領域,用於衡量公司將實際利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應記比率(來自現金流)。要獲取應計比率,我們首先要從某一期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均營運資產。這個比率告訴我們公司實際利潤有多少不是由自由現金流支持的。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
這意味着負責任的比率爲好事,因爲它表明公司所帶來的自由現金流比利潤所表明的要多。這並不是要暗示我們應該擔心正的負責任率,但值得注意的是,在負責任比率相當高的地方有一些學術證據表明,負責任比率高是近期利潤的一個不好的徵兆。
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Vanfund Urban Investment and Development recorded an accrual ratio of 0.28. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥40m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥20.0m. We also note that Vanfund Urban Investment and Development's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥40m. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
在截至2024年9月的十二個月內,萬豐城市投資與發展的應計比率爲0.28。因此,我們知道它的自由現金流顯著低於法定利潤,這顯然不是好事。過去一年,它實際上經歷了負的自由現金流達到4000萬人民幣,這與上述的2000萬人民幣利潤形成對比。我們還注意到萬豐城市投資與發展的自由現金流在去年也是負的,因此我們可以理解股東對其流出4000萬人民幣感到困擾。然而,考慮的因素不僅僅如此。我們可以看到,飛凡項目已影響其法定利潤,因此也影響了應計比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Vanfund Urban Investment and Development.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。點擊這裏查看我們對萬豐城市投資與發展公司的資產負債表分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常規項目如何影響利潤?
Unfortunately (in the short term) Vanfund Urban Investment and Development saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth CN¥33m. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. In the twelve months to September 2024, Vanfund Urban Investment and Development had a big unusual items expense. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.
不幸的是(短期內)萬豐城市投資與開發的利潤因飛凡項目減少了3300萬人民幣。如果這是一項非現金費用,那麼如果現金流保持強勁,累計比率會更好,因此與不盡人意的累計比率結合來看,這並不是一個好兆頭。看到飛凡項目導致公司利潤受到損失總是不太好,但好消息是,事情可能會早日改善。我們研究了成千上萬的上市公司,發現飛凡項目往往是一次性的。這一點並不意外,因爲這些項目被認爲是飛凡的。在截至2024年9月的12個月內,萬豐城市投資與開發出現了大額的飛凡項目費用。因此,我們可以推測,飛凡項目使其法定利潤顯著低於正常水平。
Our Take On Vanfund Urban Investment and Development's Profit Performance
我們對萬豐城市投資與開發的利潤表現的看法
In conclusion, Vanfund Urban Investment and Development's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Vanfund Urban Investment and Development's profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Vanfund Urban Investment and Development you should know about.
總之,萬豐城市投資與開發的累計比率表明其法定收益並未得到現金流的支持,即使飛凡項目對利潤造成了影響。考慮到上述所有因素,我們認爲萬豐城市投資與開發的利潤結果對其真實盈利能力是一個相當不錯的指南,儘管有點保守。考慮到這一點,我們不會考慮投資某隻股票,除非我們對潛在風險有充分的了解。每個公司都有風險,我們發現萬豐城市投資與開發存在一個應該注意的警示信號。
Our examination of Vanfund Urban Investment and Development has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
我們對萬豐城市投資與開發的審查集中在一些因素上,這些因素可能使其收益看起來比實際更好。但如果你能夠專注於細節,總會有更多的發現。有些人認爲高的股本回報率是優質業務的良好標誌。因此,你可能希望查看這份高股本回報率公司的免費集合,或者這份高內部持股的股票名單。
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