We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Langfang Development's (SHSE:600149) Earnings
We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Langfang Development's (SHSE:600149) Earnings
Unsurprisingly, Langfang Development Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600149) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.
不出所料,廊坊發展股份有限公司(SHSE:600149)的股價在健康盈利報告的推動下走強。然而,我們認爲股東們可能忽略了數字中一些令人擔憂的細節。
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A Closer Look At Langfang Development's Earnings
深入了解廊坊發展的盈利能力
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
一個用來衡量公司將利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵財務比率是應計比率。要計算應計比率,我們首先將期間的自由現金流從利潤中減去,然後將該數字除以期間的平均經營資產。這個比率告訴我們公司有多少利潤沒有由自由現金流支持。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,當一家公司有負的應計比率時,實際上被認爲是一件好事,而如果其應計比率爲正,那就不好了。雖然應計比率高於零的情況不值得太過擔憂,但我們認爲,當一家公司有相對較高的應計比率時,還是值得關注的。因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往會導致凈利潤下降或利潤增長較少。
Langfang Development has an accrual ratio of 0.47 for the year to September 2024. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥19m despite its profit of CN¥67.2m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Langfang Development generated positive FCF of CN¥9.6m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. The good news for shareholders is that Langfang Development's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
廊坊發展在截至2024年9月的年度的應計比率爲0.47。一般來說,這對未來的盈利能力預示着不利的前景。實際上,在此期間,公司根本沒有產生任何自由現金流。在過去的十二個月中,儘管上述利潤爲CN¥6720萬,但實際上它的自由現金流爲負,流出爲CN¥1900萬。值得注意的是,廊坊發展一年前生成的自由現金流爲CN¥960萬,因此至少他們在過去是做到了。對股東來說好消息是,廊坊發展去年的應計比率要好得多,因此今年的糟糕表現可能只是利潤和自由現金流短期不匹配的情況。如果確實如此,股東應該期待當前年度現金流相對於利潤的改善。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Langfang Development.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。點擊此處查看我們對廊坊發展的資產負債表分析。
Our Take On Langfang Development's Profit Performance
我們對廊坊發展的盈利表現持樂觀態度
As we discussed above, we think Langfang Development's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Langfang Development's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. The good news is that it earned a profit in the last twelve months, despite its previous loss. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Langfang Development you should know about.
正如我們上面討論的,我們認爲廊坊發展的收益並未得到自由現金流的支持,這可能讓一些投資者感到擔憂。 因此,我們認爲廊坊發展的基本收益能力可能低於其法定利潤。 好消息是,儘管之前虧損,它在過去十二個月內實現了盈利。 本文的目標是評估我們對法定收益反映公司潛力的可靠程度,但還有很多其他因素需要考慮。 請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意風險因素。 每家公司都有風險,我們發現了一個您應該了解的廊坊發展的警告信號。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Langfang Development's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
今天我們集中研究一個數據點,以更好地理解廊坊發展的利潤性質。 但是,如果您能夠專注於細節,總是會發現更多內容。 例如,許多人認爲高權益回報率是業務經濟良好的跡象,而其他人則喜歡「追隨資金」,尋找內部人正在購買的股票。 儘管您可能需要進行一些研究,但您可能會發現這個高權益回報率公司的免費集合,或這份具有顯著內部持股的股票名單是有用的。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。