Concerns Surrounding Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's (HKG:3898) Performance
Concerns Surrounding Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's (HKG:3898) Performance
Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:3898) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.
中車時代電氣(Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd.)(HKG:3898)最近強勁的收益並沒有對股票有太大影響。我們認爲股東已經注意到一些超出法定利潤數字的令人擔憂的因素。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。
Importantly, our data indicates that Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's profit received a boost of CN¥498m in unusual items, over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).
重要的是,我們的數據顯示,中車時代電氣(Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric)的利潤在過去一年中因飛凡項目獲得了人民幣49800萬元的提振。我們不能否認,更高的利潤通常讓我們感到樂觀,但我們更希望利潤能夠持續。當我們分析了成千上萬家上市公司的數據後,我們發現一年中因飛凡項目獲得的提振通常不會在下一年重複出現。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語所暗示的。假設這些飛凡項目不會在當前年度再次出現,那麼我們預計明年的利潤會較弱(在沒有業務增長的情況下)。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。
Our Take On Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's Profit Performance
我們對中車時代電氣的利潤表現的看法
We'd posit that Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's statutory earnings aren't a clean read on ongoing productivity, due to the large unusual item. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 35% over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Obviously, we love to consider the historical data to inform our opinion of a company. But it can be really valuable to consider what other analysts are forecasting. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.
我們認爲株洲中車時代電氣的法定收益並不是對持續生產力的清晰判斷,這是因爲有一個很大的飛凡項目。因此,對於我們來說,株洲中車時代電氣真正的基本盈利能力實際上可能低於其法定利潤。儘管如此,還是值得注意的是其每股盈利在過去三年裏增長了35%。當然,當我們分析其盈利時,我們只是觸及皮毛;人們也可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。顯然,我們喜歡考慮歷史數據來指導我們對公司的看法。但考慮其他分析師的預測也是非常有價值的。幸運的是,您可以通過單擊此處查看分析師的預測。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
今天,我們將目光聚焦在一個單一數據點上,以更好地了解株洲中車時代電氣利潤的性質。但如果您能專心研究細微之處,總會有更多發現。有些人認爲高股權回報率是質量良好的業務的一個良好跡象。雖然這可能需要您進行一些研究,但您可能會發現這些擁有高股權回報率的公司集合,或者這些持有大量內部股權的股票清單是有用的。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。