There May Be Reason For Hope In YAPP Automotive Systems' (SHSE:603013) Disappointing Earnings
There May Be Reason For Hope In YAPP Automotive Systems' (SHSE:603013) Disappointing Earnings
Shareholders appeared unconcerned with YAPP Automotive Systems Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603013) lackluster earnings report last week. We did some digging, and we believe the earnings are stronger than they seem.
股東們似乎對亞普股份有限公司(上交所代碼:603013)上週發佈的平淡業績報告並不關心。我們進行了深入探討,認爲業績比表面上看起來要強勁得多。

Examining Cashflow Against YAPP Automotive Systems' Earnings
對比亞普股份的營業收入來審視自由現金流
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
正如財務專業人士所知,從現金流量計算出的應計比率是評估一家公司自由現金流(FCF)是否與其利潤相匹配的關鍵指標。換句話說,該比率將自由現金流從淨利潤中減去,然後將該數字除以該期間公司的平均營運資產。該比率告訴我們公司的多少利潤不是由F C F支持的。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,負應計比率對公司是有益的,而正應計比率則是不利的。這並不是說我們應該擔心正應計比率,但值得注意的是應計比率相當高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,高應計比率通常是短期利潤的不良跡象。
Over the twelve months to September 2024, YAPP Automotive Systems recorded an accrual ratio of -0.12. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥704m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥431.9m. YAPP Automotive Systems' free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
截至2024年9月的12個月內,亞普股份的應計比率爲-0.12。因此,其法定營業收入遠低於自由現金流。事實上,它在過去一年中自由現金流爲70400萬人民幣,遠高於法定利潤的43190萬人民幣。亞普股份的自由現金流在去年的確有所下降,這令人失望,就像不可降解的氣球一樣。儘管如此,事情還有更多要說的。我們可以看到,飛凡項目影響了其法定利潤,因此也影響了應計比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of YAPP Automotive Systems.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。點擊這裏查看我們對亞普股份的資產負債表分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常規項目如何影響利潤?
YAPP Automotive Systems' profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥78m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect YAPP Automotive Systems to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.
亞普股份在過去十二個月的利潤減少了飛凡項目7800萬人民幣,這幫助它實現了高現金轉化,正如其飛凡項目所反映的那樣。這是你在公司有非現金費用減少紙面利潤時所期望看到的情況。雖然由於飛凡項目的扣除在初期令人失望,但仍有一線希望。我們審查了數千家上市公司,發現飛凡項目往往是一次性的。這並不令人驚訝,因爲這些項目被視爲飛凡。假設這些飛凡費用不會再出現,因此我們預計亞普股份明年的利潤會更高,其他條件不變。
Our Take On YAPP Automotive Systems' Profit Performance
關於亞普股份利潤表現的看法
In conclusion, both YAPP Automotive Systems' accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. Looking at all these factors, we'd say that YAPP Automotive Systems' underlying earnings power is at least as good as the statutory numbers would make it seem. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for YAPP Automotive Systems you should know about.
總之,亞普股份的應計比率和飛凡項目表明其法定收益可能相當保守。考慮到所有這些因素,我們認爲亞普股份的潛在收益能力至少和法定數字所顯示的相當。考慮到這一點,除非我們充分了解風險,否則我們不會考慮投資於某隻股票。每家公司都有風險,我們發現1個你應該知道的亞普股份的警示信號。
After our examination into the nature of YAPP Automotive Systems' profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在我們對亞普股份利潤性質的檢查後,我們對該公司感到樂觀。但如果你能夠專注於細節,永遠還有更多值得發現的東西。有些人認爲高股本回報率是高質量業務的良好標誌。因此,你可能希望查看這個自由的高股本回報率公司集合,或者查看這個高內部持股的股票列表。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。