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Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group (SZSE:002631)

Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group (SZSE:002631)

德爾未來科技控股集團(SZSE:002631)的穩健收益可能並不能完全反映全部情況
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/07 07:50

Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002631) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

德爾未來科技控股集團有限公司(SZSE:002631)最近強勁的收益並沒有對股票產生太大影響。我們認爲股東已經注意到一些超出法定利潤數字的令人擔憂的因素。

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SZSE:002631 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024
SZSE:002631 盈利和營收歷史數據 2024年11月6日

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group expanded the number of shares on issue by 9.2% over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

評估收益質量的一個關鍵方面是觀察公司對股東進行了多少稀釋。德爾未來科技控股集團近一年來發行的股份數量增加了9.2%。這意味着其收益分配在更多的股份之間。每股指標如每股收益(EPS)有助於我們了解實際股東從公司利潤中受益多少,而淨利潤水平使我們更好地了解公司的絕對規模。點擊此鏈接查看德爾未來科技控股集團的歷史EPS增長。

How Is Dilution Impacting Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

稀釋如何影響德爾未來科技控股集團的每股收益(EPS)?

Three years ago, Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group lost money. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we don't have a meaningful growth rate because it made a loss a year ago, too. What we do know is that while it's great to see a profit over the last twelve months, that profit would have been better, on a per share basis, if the company hadn't needed to issue shares. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

三年前,德爾未來科技控股集團虧損。即使只關注過去十二個月,也沒有意義的增長率,因爲一年前它也虧損了。我們知道的是,雖然過去十二個月盈利是好的,但如果公司不需要發行股票,那麼每股盈利將更好。因此,稀釋對股東回報產生了顯着影響。

In the long term, if Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

從長期來看,如果德爾未來科技控股集團的每股收益能夠增加,那麼股價也應該會增長。但另一方面,了解盈利(但不是EPS)正在改善不會讓人感到興奮。基於這個原因,可以說EPS在長期內比淨利潤更重要,假設目標是評估公司的股價是否會增長。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表強度。點擊此處查看我們對德爾未來科技控股集團資產負債表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。

Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥10m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

除了這種稀釋,值得注意的是,在過去十二個月裏,德爾未來科技控股集團的利潤受到了價值一億元人民幣的飛凡項目的提振。儘管我們喜歡看到利潤增長,但當飛凡項目作出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎。在對成千上萬家上市公司的數據進行分析後,我們發現一年中因飛凡項目而獲得的利潤提升通常不會在下一年重複出現。這也符合預期,因爲這些提振被稱爲「飛凡」。假設這些飛凡項目在當年不再出現,我們如果沒有業務增長,預計明年的利潤將會較弱。

Our Take On Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group's Profit Performance

我們對德爾未來科技控股集團的利潤表現持有看法

In its last report Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Be aware that Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is concerning...

在其最新報告中,德爾未來科技控股集團受益於提振其利潤的飛凡項目,這可能會使利潤看起來比實際狀況更好。此外,該公司還發行了大量新股,確保每位股東(未再投入更多資金的情況下)現在擁有較小比例的公司。基於上述原因,我們認爲僅對德爾未來科技控股集團的名義利潤進行粗略掃視,可能使其看起來比實際狀況更好。考慮到這一點,如果您希望對該公司進行更多分析,了解涉及的風險是至關重要的。請注意,我們的投資分析顯示,德爾未來科技控股集團正在出現4個警示信號,其中1個令人擔憂...

Our examination of Der Future Science and Technology Holding Group has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

我們對德爾未來科技控股集團的審查主要關注使其利潤看起來比實際情況更好的因素。基於這一點,我們持有一定的懷疑態度。但是,如果您能夠集中精力關注細枝末節,總會有更多發現。例如,許多人認爲高淨資產回報是有利的商業經濟指標,而其他人則喜歡「跟隨資金」,尋找內部人員正在購買的股票。因此,您可能希望查看這份涵蓋擁有高淨資產回報公司的免費收藏,或查看這份具有高內部所有權的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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