There Might Be More To Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:688733) Story Than Just Weak Earnings
There Might Be More To Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:688733) Story Than Just Weak Earnings
Shareholders didn't appear too concerned by Anhui Estone Materials Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:688733) weak earnings. We did some analysis and found some concerning details beneath the statutory profit number.
股東似乎並不太擔心安徽伊斯通材料科技股份有限公司(SHSE:688733)的弱盈利。我們進行了一些分析,並發現了法定利潤數字背後一些令人擔憂的細節。
Zooming In On Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd's Earnings
聚焦安徽伊斯通材料科技有限公司的盈利情況
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
許多投資者沒有聽說過從現金流計算的應計比率,但這實際上是一個衡量公司利潤在特定期間內是否由自由現金流(FCF)支持的有用度量。簡單地說,此比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,再將該數字除以公司在該期間內的平均營運資產。你可以把從現金流計算的應計比率看作是「非自由現金流利潤比率」。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,當一家公司的淨應計流量比率爲負數時,實際上它被認爲是一件好事,但是如果它的應計流量比率爲正數,那麼就是一件壞事了。儘管應計流量比率高於零時並不值得擔憂,但當一家公司的應計流量比率相對較高時,我們認爲值得注意。原因是一些學術研究表明高的應計比率往往導致利潤或利潤增長較少。
For the year to September 2024, Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.22. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥358m despite its profit of CN¥23.8m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥358m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
截至2024年9月的一年中,安徽伊斯通材料科技公司的計提比率爲0.22。 因此,我們可以推斷其自由現金流遠低於其法定利潤。在過去的十二個月中,儘管利潤爲2380萬人民幣,但實際上其自由現金流爲負數,流出35800萬人民幣。考慮到去年自由現金流爲負,我們想象一些股東可能會疑惑其今年的現金流出35800萬人民幣是否顯示高風險。 話雖如此,故事背後還有更多內容。 計提比率反映了飛凡項目對法定利潤的影響,至少在一定程度上。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。
Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥14m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
考慮到計提比例,安徽易堂材料科技有限公司的利潤在過去十二個月中受到價值1400萬人民幣的飛凡項的提振並不令人過分驚訝。雖然我們喜歡看到利潤增長,但當飛凡項對貢獻較大時,我們往往會更加謹慎。當我們對成千上萬家上市公司進行數據分析時,我們發現某一年受益於飛凡項的情況通常在下一年不會重複出現,這並不令人意外,鑑於其名稱。相比於2024年9月,安徽易堂材料科技有限公司利潤中飛凡項的貢獻相對較大。因此,我們可以推斷出飛凡項使其法定利潤比原本要顯著增強。
Our Take On Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance
我們對安徽易堂材料科技有限公司的利潤表現的看法
Summing up, Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you want to do dive deeper into Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd you should be mindful of and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
總結一下,安徽易堂材料科技有限公司從飛凡項中獲得了利潤的良好提升,但未能用自由現金流匹配其賬面利潤。基於上述原因,我們認爲僅僅粗略瀏覽安徽易堂材料科技有限公司的法定利潤,可能使其在基礎層面上看起來比實際情況好一些。如果您想深入了解安徽易堂材料科技有限公司,您也應該考慮它當前面臨的風險。例如:我們發現了3個安徽易堂材料科技有限公司的警示信號,您應該注意其中1個。
Our examination of Anhui Estone Materials TechnologyLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
我們對安徽易堂材料科技有限公司的審查側重於一些可能使其收入看起來比實際情況更好的因素。基於此,我們持有一定的懷疑態度。但如果您能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多發現。一些人認爲高淨資產回報率是優質企業的良好跡象。儘管這可能需要您進行一些研究,您可能會發現這個免費的高淨資產回報率公司集合,或者這個擁有重要內部持股的股票清單對您有所幫助。
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