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Yonz TechnologyLtd (SHSE:603381) Posted Weak Earnings But There Is More To Worry About

Yonz TechnologyLtd (SHSE:603381) Posted Weak Earnings But There Is More To Worry About

永傑科技有限公司(SHSE:603381)發佈了弱勢業績,但仍有更多值得擔憂的地方
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/06 16:55

Shareholders didn't appear too concerned by Yonz Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603381) weak earnings. We did some analysis and found some concerning details beneath the statutory profit number.

股東似乎並不太擔心永清科技股份有限公司(SHSE:603381)的業績疲軟。我們進行了一些分析,並在法定利潤數字下發現了一些令人擔憂的細節。

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SHSE:603381 Earnings and Revenue History November 7th 2024
SHSE:603381 盈利和營收歷史 2024年11月7日

A Closer Look At Yonz TechnologyLtd's Earnings

深入了解永清科技股份有限公司的盈利

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高端金融中,用於衡量公司如何將報告的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(從現金流量表中)。簡單地說,該比率將FCF減去淨利潤,然後將該數字除以該期間公司的平均運營資產。該比率向我們展示了公司利潤超過FCF的程度。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司帶來的自由現金流比利潤預示的要多。儘管應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們認爲值得注意的是,當公司應計比率相對較高時。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇論文:「應計較高的公司未來可能不那麼有盈利能力」。

For the year to September 2024, Yonz TechnologyLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.82. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥5.0b, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥296.9m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥5.0b, this year, indicates high risk. However, as we will discuss below, we can see that the company's accrual ratio has been impacted by its tax situation. This would certainly have contributed to the weak cash conversion.

截至2024年9月的一年,永清科技股份有限公司的計提比率爲0.82。一般來說,這對未來的盈利能力不利。實際上,在該期間,公司根本沒有產生任何自由現金流。過去一年,其實際上有負的自由現金流達到了CN¥50億,與前述的盈利CN¥29690萬形成對比。在經歷了去年的負自由現金流後,我們想一些股東可能會疑惑,今年的CN¥50億現金燒損是否表示高風險。然而,正如我們將在下文討論的那樣,我們可以看到公司的計提比率受其稅收情況的影響。這無疑會導致較弱的現金轉化。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

An Unusual Tax Situation

一種不尋常的稅務情況

Moving on from the accrual ratio, we note that Yonz TechnologyLtd profited from a tax benefit which contributed CN¥32m to profit. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. Of course, prima facie it's great to receive a tax benefit. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth.

從應計比率來看,我們注意到永特科技公司因稅收優惠而獲得了3200萬人民幣的利潤。 當一個公司由稅務機構付款而非向稅務機構支付款項時,這總是令人矚目的。 當然,從表面上看,獲得稅收優惠是件好事。 然而,問題的關鍵在於這類利益只會在入賬年度產生影響,並且通常是一次性的。 如果稅收優惠不再重複發生,我們預計其法定利潤水平會下降,至少在沒有強勁增長的情況下。

Our Take On Yonz TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

我們對永特科技公司的盈利表現總結如下

Yonz TechnologyLtd's accrual ratio indicates weak cashflow relative to earnings, which perhaps arises in part from the tax benefit it received this year. If the tax benefit is not repeated, then profit would drop next year, all else being equal. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Yonz TechnologyLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Yonz TechnologyLtd.

永特科技公司的應計比率顯示相對於收入的現金流較弱,部分原因可能是由於今年獲得的稅收優惠。 如果稅收優惠不再發生,那麼在其他條件不變的情況下,明年利潤將下降。 出於上述原因,我們認爲僅僅粗略瀏覽永特科技公司的法定利潤可能會使其看起來比實際情況要好。 鑑此,如果您想對該公司進行更多分析,了解風險是至關重要的。 爲了幫助您,我們發現了3個警示信號(其中2個有點不愉快!),在購買永特科技公司的股票之前,您應該注意這些警告。

Our examination of Yonz TechnologyLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

我們對永特科技公司的研究重點放在可以使其盈利看起來好於實際情況的某些因素上。 基於此,我們持有一定的懷疑態度。 但是,如果您能專注於細節,總是可以發現更多。 有些人認爲股本回報率高是高質量企業的一個好跡象。 儘管您可能需要一些調查,但您可能會發現這個自由收集了股本回報率高的公司,或者這個具有重要內部持股的股票清單會對您有所幫助。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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