Lazard, Inc. (NYSE:LAZ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 114% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, Lazard may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Capital Markets industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.6x and even P/S higher than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
How Lazard Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Lazard has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Lazard's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is Lazard's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lazard would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 25%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 3.9% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 10% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why Lazard is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Despite Lazard's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As expected, our analysis of Lazard's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
Having said that, be aware Lazard is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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