Here's Why Gorman-Rupp (NYSE:GRC) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Gorman-Rupp (NYSE:GRC) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that The Gorman-Rupp Company (NYSE:GRC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理陸李對此毫不猶豫,他說"最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於您是否遭受了資本的永久損失。"因此,聰明人似乎知道,債務(通常與破產有關)是評估公司風險程度時的一個非常重要因素。我們注意到紐交所上的戈曼魯普公司(NYSE:GRC)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否使公司變得很危險。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
當公司不能輕鬆地通過自由現金流或發行有吸引力的股本籌集資金來履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債會對公司構成風險。在最糟糕的情況下,公司如果無法償付其債權人的款項,則可能會破產。然而,會發生的更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以廉價的股票價格稀釋股東的持股比例,以便控制債務。話雖如此,在考慮公司的債務水平時,第一步是考慮其現金和債務的總體情況。
What Is Gorman-Rupp's Net Debt?
戈曼魯普的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Gorman-Rupp had debt of US$383.0m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from US$410.2m over a year. However, it does have US$39.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$343.3m.
下面的圖片,您可以點擊查看更詳細的信息,顯示戈曼魯普在2024年9月底的債務爲38300萬美元,比去年的41020萬美元減少。然而,它確實有3970萬美元的現金來抵消這一筆債務,從而形成約34330萬美元的淨債務。
How Healthy Is Gorman-Rupp's Balance Sheet?
高曼拉普的資產負債表健康狀況如何?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Gorman-Rupp had liabilities of US$100.5m due within a year, and liabilities of US$415.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$39.7m in cash and US$88.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$388.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,高曼拉普有1年內到期的負債金額爲10050萬美元,以及之後到期的41560萬美元。與此相抵,其現金爲3970萬美元,應收賬款爲8840萬美元,在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的組合多出38810萬美元。
This deficit isn't so bad because Gorman-Rupp is worth US$1.02b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
這個赤字並不算太糟糕,因爲高曼拉普價值10.2億美元,因此可能能夠籌集足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表,如果有必要的話。然而,仍然值得密切關注其償債能力。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我們通過將公司的淨債務與其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)相除,並計算其息稅前利潤(EBIT)如何覆蓋其利息費用(利息覆蓋率)來衡量公司的債務負擔相對於其盈利能力。因此,我們同時考慮債務的絕對數量以及所支付的利率。
While Gorman-Rupp's debt to EBITDA ratio (2.9) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.4, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. However, one redeeming factor is that Gorman-Rupp grew its EBIT at 16% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Gorman-Rupp can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
儘管高曼拉普的債務與息稅折舊及攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)比率(2.9)顯示其使用了一些債務,但其利息償付覆蓋率非常薄弱,爲2.4,表明槓桿率很高。顯然,借貸成本正在最近影響股東的回報。然而,一個彌補因素是高曼拉普過去12個月的EBIT增長了16%,提高了其償債能力。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定高曼拉普是否能長期加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,你可以查看這份展示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Gorman-Rupp recorded free cash flow worth 59% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬的現金。因此,我們明顯需要看看這個EBIT是否帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去最近的三年裏,高曼拉普記錄的自由現金流價值爲其EBIT的59%,這在正常範圍內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅金。這筆冷硬現金意味着它可以在希望時減少債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
Gorman-Rupp's interest cover was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that it has an adequate capacity to grow its EBIT. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Gorman-Rupp's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Gorman-Rupp , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
高曼-盧普的利息保障在這項分析中確實表現不佳,儘管我們考慮的其他因素要好得多。毫無疑問,它具有足夠的能力增長EBIt。當我們考慮以上提到的所有因素時,我們對高曼-盧普使用債務感到有些謹慎。雖然債務確實有以更高潛在回報爲優勢,我們認爲股東們絕對應該考慮債務水平如何可能使股票更加風險。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的開始點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。我們已經發現了 1個警示信號關於高曼-盧普,了解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
每天結束時,通常更好地關注那些沒有淨債務的公司。您可以查看我們特別名單上的這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長記錄)。這是免費的。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。