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Sungrow Power Supply's (SZSE:300274) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

Sungrow Power Supply's (SZSE:300274) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

陽光電源(SZSE:300274)的穩固收益可能建立在薄弱基礎之上
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/07 16:32

The recent earnings posted by Sungrow Power Supply Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300274) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

陽光電源供電股份有限公司(SZSE:300274)最近公佈的收益表現穩健,但股票沒有像我們預期的那樣波動。我們相信股東已經注意到一些超出法定利潤數字的令人擔憂的因素。

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SZSE:300274 Earnings and Revenue History November 7th 2024
SZSE:300274盈利和營業收入歷史記錄2024年11月7日

Examining Cashflow Against Sungrow Power Supply's Earnings

檢查現金流與陽光電源的盈利情況

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用於衡量公司將其盈利轉換成自由現金流(FCF)的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。爲了得出應計比率,我們首先從一個期間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以期間的平均經營資產。這個比率告訴我們公司利潤有多少不受自由現金流支持。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負面預提比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司所獲得的自由現金流比其利潤所示的要多。這並不意味着我們應該擔心正面的預提比率,但值得注意的是,如果預提比率很高的話就要考慮這個問題。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇論文:「預提較高的公司未來的盈利能力較低」。

Sungrow Power Supply has an accrual ratio of 0.35 for the year to September 2024. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥555m, which is significantly less than its profit of CN¥9.82b. Sungrow Power Supply shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months.

陽光電源在截至2024年9月的一年中累計比率爲0.35。因此,我們可以推斷其自由現金流遠遠不足以覆蓋其法定利潤,這表明我們在在對後者給予很大權重之前,可能需要三思。事實上,在過去十二個月中,其報告的自由現金流爲人民幣55500萬,遠遠低於其98.2億人民幣的利潤。陽光電源股東無疑希望其自由現金流明年會反彈,因爲在過去十二個月中它下降了。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

Our Take On Sungrow Power Supply's Profit Performance

我們對陽光電源的盈利表現有自己的看法

As we discussed above, we think Sungrow Power Supply's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Sungrow Power Supply's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Sungrow Power Supply you should be mindful of and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

正如我們之前討論的,我們認爲陽光電源的盈利並未得到自由現金流的支持,這可能會讓一些投資者感到擔憂。因此,我們認爲很可能陽光電源的基礎盈利能力低於其法定利潤。但值得一提的是,其每股收益在過去三年增長速度令人印象深刻。本文的目標是評估我們能否依賴法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多要考慮的因素。請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意涉及的風險。一個例子是:我們發現了3個關於陽光電源的警示信號,您應該謹慎對待,其中1個有點不太愉快。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Sungrow Power Supply's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天,我們放大了一個數據點,以更好地了解陽光電源盈利的本質。但還有許多其他方法可以幫助您了解一個公司。一些人認爲高淨資產回報率是一個優質企業的良好跡象。雖然這可能需要您進行一些研究,但您可能會發現這個免費的高淨資產回報率收集公司或這個持有大量內部股份的股票清單對您有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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