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Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing Industry Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000995) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing Industry Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000995) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

皇台酒業股份有限公司(SZSE:000995)股價強勢上漲,但基本面看起來不確定:未來會怎樣?
Simply Wall St ·  11/08 06:21

Most readers would already be aware that Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's (SZSE:000995) stock increased significantly by 76% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's ROE today.

大多數讀者已經意識到,甘肅皇台酒業有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:000995)的股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了76%。但是該公司的關鍵財務指標似乎各不相同,這使我們質疑該公司目前的股價勢頭是否可以維持。特別是,今天我們將關注甘肅皇台酒業有限公司的投資回報率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

ROE或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得的投資中獲得回報的有用工具。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於其股權資本的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通過使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd is:

因此,根據上述公式,甘肅皇台酒業有限公司的投資回報率爲:

2.6% = CN¥3.9m ÷ CN¥146m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

2.6% = 390萬元人民幣 ÷ 14600萬元人民幣(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

「回報」 是指公司去年的收益。這意味着,每獲得價值1元人民幣的股東權益,該公司就會產生0.03元人民幣的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。然後,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力,具體取決於公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 「保留」 了多少及其有效性。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

A Side By Side comparison of Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 2.6% ROE

甘肅皇台酒業有限公司的收益增長和2.6%的投資回報率的並排比較

It is hard to argue that Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 16%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's five year net income decline of 41% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

很難說甘肅皇台酒業有限公司的投資回報率本身就很不錯。即使與行業平均水平的16%相比,投資回報率的數字也相當令人失望。出於這個原因,鑑於投資回報率較低,甘肅皇台酒業有限公司五年淨收入下降了41%,這並不奇怪。我們認爲,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如,該公司的派息率非常高,或者面臨競爭壓力。

That being said, we compared Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 15% in the same 5-year period.

話雖如此,我們將甘肅皇台酒業有限公司的表現與行業進行了比較,當我們發現儘管該公司縮減了收益,但該行業在同期5年內以15%的速度增長了收益時,我們對此感到擔憂。

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SZSE:000995 Past Earnings Growth November 7th 2024
SZSE: 000995 過去的收益增長 2024 年 11 月 7 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

爲公司附加價值的基礎在很大程度上與其收益增長息息相關。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是爲光明還是暗淡的未來而佈局。如果你想知道甘肅皇台酒業有限公司的估值,可以看看這個衡量其市盈率與行業相比的指標。

Is Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

甘肅皇台酒業有限公司是否在有效利用其利潤?

Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

甘肅皇台酒業有限公司不定期派發任何股息,這意味着其所有利潤可能都被再投資於該業務,這並不能解釋爲什麼如果該公司保留所有利潤,收益就會萎縮。因此,在這方面可能還有其他解釋。例如,該公司的業務可能正在惡化。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

總的來說,我們認爲甘肅皇台酒業有限公司的表現可以有多種解讀。儘管鑑於投資回報率低,它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但投資者畢竟可能無法從所有這些再投資中受益。低收入增長表明我們的理論是正確的。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。您可以通過我們的平台免費訪問我們的風險控制面板,查看我們爲甘肅皇台酒業有限公司確定的三種風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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