Here's Why Yunnan Coal & EnergyLtd (SHSE:600792) Can Afford Some Debt
Here's Why Yunnan Coal & EnergyLtd (SHSE:600792) Can Afford Some Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Yunnan Coal & Energy Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600792) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
有人認爲,作爲投資者,最好的方式是將波動性而不是債務視爲風險,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過'波動性與風險遠非同義詞'。當我們考慮一家公司有多冒險時,我們總是喜歡看它對債務的使用,因爲債務過載可能會導致破產。值得注意的是,雲南煤炭能源股份有限公司(SHSE:600792)確實承擔債務。但這些債務會讓股東擔心嗎?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務可在業務遇到困難無法償還時提供幫助,可以通過新資本或自由現金流來償還。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以接管企業。然而,更頻繁的(但仍然成本高昂)情況是一家公司必須以低於市價的價格發行股票,永久性地稀釋股東,以加強其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表着廉價資本,尤其是當它取代公司因能夠以較高回報率再投資而造成的稀釋時。在考慮一家企業使用了多少債務時,首先要做的是看其現金和債務的總體情況。
What Is Yunnan Coal & EnergyLtd's Net Debt?
雲南煤炭能源股份有限公司的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Yunnan Coal & EnergyLtd had debt of CN¥2.25b, up from CN¥1.65b in one year. However, it also had CN¥343.9m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.91b.
下面的圖片顯示,截至2024年9月,雲南煤炭能源有限公司的債務爲人民幣22.5億,比一年前的16.5億增加。然而,它也有人民幣34390萬的現金,因此其淨債務爲19.1億。
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A Look At Yunnan Coal & EnergyLtd's Liabilities
關注雲南煤炭與能源有限公司的負債
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Yunnan Coal & EnergyLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.52b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.47b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥343.9m in cash and CN¥4.39b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.25b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看到,雲南煤炭與能源有限公司的一年內到期的負債爲55.2億人民幣,到期日超過一年的負債爲14.7億人民幣。相較之下,公司有34390萬元的現金和43.9億人民幣的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此其負債總計爲22.5億人民幣,超過了其現金和短期應收賬款的總額。
This deficit isn't so bad because Yunnan Coal & EnergyLtd is worth CN¥4.63b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Yunnan Coal & EnergyLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
雖然雲南煤炭與能源有限公司的赤字並不算太糟糕,因爲其淨值爲46.3億人民幣,所以如果需要的話可能能夠籌集足夠的資本來強化其資產負債表。但我們絕對希望留意其債務帶來過高風險的跡象。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中能夠最多地了解債務情況。但正是雲南煤炭與能源有限公司的盈利將影響資產負債表未來的穩固性。所以如果你渴望了解更多關於其盈利方面的信息,不妨查看下其長期盈利趨勢圖。
In the last year Yunnan Coal & EnergyLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 3.2%, to CN¥7.1b. We would much prefer see growth.
在過去一年裏,雲南煤炭與能源有限公司利息和稅前虧損,實際上其營業收入下降了3.2%,至71億人民幣。我們更希望看到增長。
Caveat Emptor
買方自負。
Over the last twelve months Yunnan Coal & EnergyLtd produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥210m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥291m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Yunnan Coal & EnergyLtd (including 3 which are significant) .
在過去的十二個月中,雲南煤炭與能源有限公司實現了利息和稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。具體來說,EBIT虧損爲21000萬元。當我們考慮到其資產負債表上的負債相對於現金的情況時,我們認爲公司有債務是不明智的。坦率地說,我們認爲其資產負債表遠未達到最佳狀態,儘管隨着時間的推移可能會改善。另一個需要謹慎的原因是,過去十二個月公司的自由現金流爲負29100萬元。因此我們認爲該股票非常風險。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表上——遠非如此。因此,您應該閱讀我們發現的雲南煤炭與能源有限公司的 4 個警示信號(其中3個是重要的)。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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