Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical (SZSE:002749) Jumps 9.2% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Three-year Shareholder Returns
Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical (SZSE:002749) Jumps 9.2% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Three-year Shareholder Returns
One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, the Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002749) share price is up 62% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 15% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 31%, including dividends.
從股市獲益的一個簡單方法是買入指數基金。但是,如果選擇正確的個別股票,可能會賺得更多。例如,國光股份股份有限公司(SZSE:002749)的股價在過去三年中上漲了62%,顯然要比市場大約15%的下跌好(不包括分紅)。另一方面,最近的回報並不那麼理想,股東的回報率僅爲31%,包括分紅在內。
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's three-year performance.
過去一週對於國光股份的投資者來說是獲利的,讓我們看看基本面是否推動了公司的三年表現。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
引用巴菲特的話說,「船隻會在世界各地航行,但是持平地球學會會蓬勃發展。在市場上,價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大的差距……」評估公司周圍情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical was able to grow its EPS at 26% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. The average annual share price increase of 17% is actually lower than the EPS growth. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock.
國光股份成功地在三年內將每股收益增長26%,推動股價上漲。17%的年均股價增長實際上低於每股收益增長。因此,有理由認爲市場已經對該股冷淡。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的圖片中查看每股收益如何隨時間變化(單擊圖表以查看確切的價值)。
We know that Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.
我們知道國光股份最近已經改善了其底線,但它是否會增長營業收入? 您可以查看這份免費報告,其中顯示了分析師對營業收入的預測。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical's TSR for the last 3 years was 79%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報率以及股價回報率是很重要的。 TSR包括任何剝離或折扣資本募集的價值,以及根據股息再投資的假設。 可以說TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖片。 國光股份過去3年的TSR爲79%,超過了早期提到的股價回報。 這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
It's good to see that Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 31% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 10% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical .
很高興看到國光股份在過去十二個月內以31%的總股東回報率回報股東。 包括股息在內。 由於一年的TSR優於五年的TSR(後者爲每年10%),似乎股票的表現在最近有所改善。 在最好的情況下,這可能暗示了一些真正的業務動力,表明現在可能是深入了解的好時機。 雖然值得考慮市場條件對股價的影響,但有其他更重要的因素。 爲此,您應該注意我們發現的國光股份的2個警告信號。
But note: Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:國光股份可能不是最好的股票買入選擇。因此,請查看這份免費的有趣公司名單,其中列有過去盈利增長(以及未來增長預測)的公司。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。