We Think ChromaDex's (NASDAQ:CDXC) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
We Think ChromaDex's (NASDAQ:CDXC) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like ChromaDex Corporation's (NASDAQ:CDXC) stock has recently. We have done some analysis, and we found several positive factors beyond the profit numbers.
當公司發佈強勁的盈利數據時,股票通常表現良好,就像chromadex公司(納斯達克:CDXC)的股票最近一樣。我們進行了一些分析,發現了除盈利數字以外的幾個積極因素。
A Closer Look At ChromaDex's Earnings
深入分析chromadex的盈利情況
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
許多投資者並不了解從現金流量中計算的應計比率,但實際上它是一個衡量公司利潤由自由現金流(FCF)在一定期間內支持的程度的有用指標。簡單來說,這個比率將FCF從淨利潤中減去,然後將該數字除以公司在該期間內的平均經營資產。這個比率告訴我們公司的利潤超過其FCF的多少。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,當一個公司有一個負的應計比率時,實際上是一件好事,但如果它的應計比率是正的,那就是一件壞事。雖然有一個正的應計比率並不是一個問題,表明了一定程度的非現金利潤,但高的應計比率則是一個壞事,因爲它表明紙上的利潤不與現金流匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的論文,「應計比率更高的公司未來的盈利能力往往更低。」
ChromaDex has an accrual ratio of -1.83 for the year to September 2024. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$4.1m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of US$1.49m. ChromaDex's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.
chromadex在2024年9月的一整年中的計提比率爲-1.83。這意味着其現金轉化非常好,並且其上一年的盈利實際上明顯低估了其自由現金流。換句話說,在這段期間內,它產生了410萬美元的自由現金流,遠遠超過其報告的利潤149萬美元。chromadex的自由現金流實際上在過去一年中有所下降,這令人失望,就像那些不可生物降解的氣球一樣。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。
Our Take On ChromaDex's Profit Performance
ChromaDex利潤表現評價
As we discussed above, ChromaDex's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think ChromaDex's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And one can definitely find a positive in the fact that it made a profit this year, despite losing money last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of ChromaDex.
正如我們上面所討論的,chromadex的應計比率表明利潤轉化爲自由現金流的能力強大,這對公司來說是一個積極的跡象。因此,我們認爲chromadex的潛在盈利能力與法定利潤相當,甚至可能更好!而且,儘管去年虧損,今年卻盈利,這一點可以肯定是積極的。本文的目標是評估我們是否可以依靠法定收益來反映公司的潛力,但還有很多因素需要考慮。請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意涉及的風險。例如,我們發現了一個警示信號,您應該仔細審視以更全面地了解chromadex。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of ChromaDex's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
今天,我們將重點放在一個單一數據點上,以更好地理解chromadex盈利的本質。但有很多其他方法可以幫助您了解一家公司。有些人認爲權益回報率高是一個高質量業務的良好跡象。因此,您可能希望查看具有高股權回報率的公司的免費收藏,或者查看具有高內部持股的股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。