Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Investors in Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. (NYSE:VSH) had a good week, as its shares rose 5.5% to close at US$17.89 following the release of its third-quarter results. Revenues came in at US$735m, in line with estimates, while Vishay Intertechnology reported a statutory loss of US$0.14 per share, well short of prior analyst forecasts for a profit. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
威世科技公司(NYSE:VSH)的投資者度過了美好的一週,因爲其股價上漲了5.5%,收於17.89美元,緊隨其第三季度業績發佈之後。營業收入達到73500萬美元,符合預期,而威世科技則報告每股虧損0.14美元,遠低於先前分析師對盈利的預測。收益是投資者重要的時刻,因爲他們可以追蹤公司的表現,了解分析師對明年的預測,並查看對該公司的看法是否有所改變。因此,我們彙總了最新的盈後法定共識預測,以了解明年可能會發生什麼。
Following the latest results, Vishay Intertechnology's three analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$3.10b in 2025. This would be an okay 2.9% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 64% to US$1.04. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$3.25b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.43 in 2025. From this we can that sentiment has definitely become more bearish after the latest results, leading to lower revenue forecasts and a pretty serious reduction to earnings per share estimates.
根據最新的結果,威世科技公司的三位分析師預測2025年的營收將達到31億美元。與過去12個月相比,這將是一項不錯的2.9%的營收增長。每股收益預計將增長64%,達到1.04美元。然而,在最新業績之前,分析師們曾預計2025年的營收爲32.5億美元,每股收益(EPS)爲1.43美元。由此可見,最新結果後市場情緒確實變得更爲看淡,導致更低的營收預測和對每股收益預期的大幅下調。
The analysts made no major changes to their price target of US$21.00, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on Vishay Intertechnology's valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Vishay Intertechnology analyst has a price target of US$25.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$17.00. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
分析師對威世科技公司的股價目標沒有進行重大修改,表明不預計這些降級會對該公司的估值產生長期影響。然而,我們可以從這些數據中得出的結論並不僅限於此,因爲一些投資者在評估分析師的股價目標時還喜歡考慮預測的差距。最樂觀的威世科技分析師將股價目標定爲25.00美元,而最悲觀者將其定爲17.00美元。這些股價目標顯示出,分析師對該業務有一些不同的看法,但預測並不足以讓我們認爲有些人在賭博或徹底失敗。
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Vishay Intertechnology's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Vishay Intertechnology's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 2.3% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 6.1% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 7.3% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Vishay Intertechnology is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.
這些估算很有趣,但在比較預測時,將一些更廣泛的輪廓塗抹出來可能會更有用,既要考慮到威世科技的過去表現,也要與同行業的同行進行比較。很明顯,人們期待威世科技的營業收入增長將大幅放緩,預計到2025年底,年增長率將顯示2.3%的增長。這與過去五年的歷史增長率6.1%相比。將此與行業中其他公司(根據分析師的預測)相比,預計其年均營業收入增長率爲7.3%。考慮到增長放緩的預測情況,很顯然,威世科技也預計增長速度比其他行業參與者更慢。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Vishay Intertechnology. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$21.00, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
最大的擔憂是分析師們降低了每股收益的估算,表明威世科技可能面臨業務挑戰。在消極方面,他們還下調了營業收入的估算,預測表明他們的表現將不如整個行業。共識價值目標保持在21.00美元,最新估算並不足以對其價格目標產生影響。
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Vishay Intertechnology. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Vishay Intertechnology analysts - going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.
考慮到這一點,我們不應該過快得出關於威世科技的結論。長期的盈利能力比明年的利潤更重要。我們從多位威世科技分析師那裏得到了截至2025年的估算,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Vishay Intertechnology you should be aware of.
但您應該始終考慮風險。舉例來說,我們發現了威世科技的3個警示信號,您應該注意。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。