Pinlive Foods Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300892) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 56% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 85% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may consider Pinlive Foods as a stock not worth researching with its 5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Pinlive Foods' Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Pinlive Foods over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Pinlive Foods, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Pinlive Foods' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 27%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 42% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 16% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Pinlive Foods' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
The strong share price surge has lead to Pinlive Foods' P/S soaring as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Pinlive Foods currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Pinlive Foods, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Pinlive Foods, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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