We Think Sichuan Haite High-techLtd (SZSE:002023) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Sichuan Haite High-techLtd (SZSE:002023) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Sichuan Haite High-tech Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002023) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
傳奇基金經理李錄(查理·芒格支持的)曾說過:'最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久損失。' 所以,當你考慮任何特定股票的風險時,可能很明顯你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,四川海特高新科技有限公司(深交所代碼:002023)確實在其資產負債表上有債務。但是,股東應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時會變得危險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務在業務中起幫助作用,直到企業在新資本或自由現金流方面難以償還它。最終,如果公司無法履行其償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,公司不得不以低價籌集新股本,從而永久性地攤薄股東的股份。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,特別是在資本密集型企業中。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務一起考慮。
How Much Debt Does Sichuan Haite High-techLtd Carry?
四川海特高新科技有限公司揹負了多少債務?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sichuan Haite High-techLtd had debt of CN¥2.13b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥2.36b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥512.3m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.62b.
下面的圖像(您可以點擊以獲取更詳細的信息)顯示,截至2024年9月底,四川海特高新科技有限公司的債務爲21.3億人民幣,較一年前的23.6億人民幣有所減少。然而,由於它有51230萬人民幣的現金儲備,其淨債務減少至約16.2億人民幣。
How Healthy Is Sichuan Haite High-techLtd's Balance Sheet?
四川海特高新有限公司的資產負債表健康狀況如何?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Sichuan Haite High-techLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.45b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.54b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥512.3m in cash and CN¥700.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.78b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
根據最新報告的資產負債表,四川海特高新有限公司在12個月內有14.5億人民幣的負債,以及12個月後有15.4億人民幣的負債。對此,它在現金中有51230萬人民幣,在12個月內到期的應收款有70090萬人民幣。因此,其負債總額比現金和短期應收款的總和多出17.8億人民幣。
Since publicly traded Sichuan Haite High-techLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥9.05b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
由於上市的四川海特高新有限公司的股份總值爲90.5億人民幣,這種水平的負債似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。不過,顯然我們應該繼續關注其資產負債表,以防其惡化。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
我們通過查看公司的淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比例來衡量公司相對於其收益能力的債務負擔,以及計算其息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋利息支出的能力(利息覆蓋率)。因此,我們在考慮收益時同時考慮了折舊與攤銷費用及不考慮這些費用的情況。
While Sichuan Haite High-techLtd's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.1) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.2, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. The good news is that Sichuan Haite High-techLtd grew its EBIT a smooth 69% over the last twelve months. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sichuan Haite High-techLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
儘管四川海特高新有限公司的債務與EBITDA比率(4.1)表明它使用了一些債務,但其利息覆蓋率非常弱,僅爲2.2,表明高槓杆。因此,股東們應該意識到,利息支出似乎最近對業務產生了很大影響。好消息是,四川海特高新有限公司在過去的十二個月中其EBIT增長了69%。這種增長就像母親對新生兒的溫暖擁抱一樣,建立了抵禦力,使公司在管理其債務時處於更強的位置。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個明顯的起點。但未來的收益,更多的是決定四川海特高新有限公司維持健康資產負債表能力的關鍵。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費的報告,顯示分析師的利潤預測。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent two years, Sichuan Haite High-techLtd recorded free cash flow of 39% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
最後,公司只能用現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。 因此,值得檢查一下其EBIT中有多少部分是由自由現金流支持的。 根據最近兩年的數據顯示,海特高新有限公司的自由現金流佔其EBIT的39%,這一比例低於我們的預期。 這樣的現金轉換能力較弱使得處理債務更加困難。
Our View
我們的觀點
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Sichuan Haite High-techLtd was the fact that it seems able to grow its EBIT confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. To be specific, it seems about as good at covering its interest expense with its EBIT as wet socks are at keeping your feet warm. It's also worth noting that Sichuan Haite High-techLtd is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Sichuan Haite High-techLtd is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Sichuan Haite High-techLtd, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
在資產負債表方面,海特高新有限公司的突出積極之處在於其似乎能夠自信地增長EBIT。 但我們上面提到的其他因素並不那麼令人鼓舞。 具體來說,它似乎在用EBIT覆蓋利息支出方面的表現和溼襪子保暖一樣糟糕。 還值得注意的是,海特高新有限公司處於製造行業,這通常被認爲是相當防禦性的。 當我們考慮上述所有因素時,似乎海特高新有限公司對其債務管理得相當不錯。 話雖如此,負擔足夠沉重,我們建議任何股東應密切關注。 隨着時間的推移,股價往往跟隨每股收益,因此如果您對海特高新有限公司感興趣,您可能想點擊這裏查看其每股收益歷史的互動圖表。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。