Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System (SZSE:002184) Delivers Shareholders Notable 11% CAGR Over 5 Years, Surging 16% in the Last Week Alone
Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System (SZSE:002184) Delivers Shareholders Notable 11% CAGR Over 5 Years, Surging 16% in the Last Week Alone
When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, long term Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System Co., Ltd (SZSE:002184) shareholders have enjoyed a 64% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 25% (not including dividends).
當我們投資時,通常尋找表現優異於市場平均水平的股票。購買被低估的業務是實現超額回報的一種途徑。例如,長揸上海海得控制系統股份有限公司(SZSE:002184)的股東在過去的五年中享受了64%的股價上漲,遠遠超過了市場回報約25%(不包括分紅)。
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.
過去一週對上海海得控制系統的投資者來說是獲利豐厚的,所以讓我們看看基本面是否推動了公司的五年表現。
Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
上海海得控制系統目前沒有盈利,所以大多數分析師會關注營業收入增長,以了解潛在業務增長的速度。通常情況下,無盈利公司的股東希望看到強勁的營業收入增長。這是因爲快速的營業收入增長通常可以推斷出相當可觀的利潤。
In the last 5 years Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System saw its revenue grow at 11% per year. That's a fairly respectable growth rate. Revenue has been growing at a reasonable clip, so it's debatable whether the share price growth of 10% full reflects the underlying business growth. If revenue growth can maintain for long enough, it's likely profits will flow. Lack of earnings means you have to project further into the future justify the valuation on the basis of future free cash flow.
在過去的五年中,上海海得控制系統的營業收入增長率爲每年11%。這是相當可觀的增長率。收入一直以一個合理的速度增長,因此很難說股價增長10%是否充分反映了基礎業務的增長。如果營業收入增長能夠保持足夠長時間,利潤很可能會隨之而來。缺乏盈利意味着您必須進一步預測未來,以未來自由現金流爲基礎來證明估值的合理性。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
以下圖片顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化(如果你點擊圖片,可以看到更詳細的信息)。
Take a more thorough look at Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
通過這份免費的資產負債表報告,更全面地了解上海海得控制的財務健康狀況。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System the TSR over the last 5 years was 72%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
對於任何給定的股票,考慮總股東回報以及股價回報非常重要。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而TSR包括分紅的價值(假設分紅再投資)以及任何折價的資本募集或分拆的好處。可以說TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖像。我們注意到,上海海得控制過去5年的TSR爲72%,這比上述股價回報要好。因此,公司支付的股息提升了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
Investors in Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System had a tough year, with a total loss of 27% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 11%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 11% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
上海海得控制的投資者度過了艱難的一年,總虧損達27%(包括股息),而市場的收益約爲11%。即使優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但在對一家企業的基本度量標準出現改善之前,我們需要看到長期股東已經實現了盈利,五年半以來年均增長11%。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此值得查看基本數據,看是否存在長期增長趨勢的跡象。跟蹤股價表現是一件有趣的事情,但要更好地了解上海海得控制,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,投資風險一直存在。我們已經識別出上海海得控制存在1個警示信號,了解它們應該作爲您的投資流程的一部分。
We will like Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些大規模內部買入,我們會更喜歡上海海得控制。在此期間,請查看這份免費的被低估股票名單(主要是小市值股票),其中包含大量最近的內部買入。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。