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We Think YaGuang Technology Group (SZSE:300123) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

We Think YaGuang Technology Group (SZSE:300123) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

我們認爲亞光科技集團(SZSE:300123)負債規模相當可觀
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/09 08:34

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies YaGuang Technology Group Company Limited (SZSE:300123) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李錄(查理·芒格支持的)曾經說過,「最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」 當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致滅亡。 與許多其他公司一樣,亞光科技集團有限公司(SZSE:300123)利用了債務。 但這種債務是否讓股東擔憂?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本時,債務和其他負債對企業構成風險。如果情況變得非常糟糕,放貸人可以控制企業。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦的)情況是,它必須以低價發行新股權資本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的股份。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表了廉價的資本,特別是當它用於替換具有高回報率再投資的公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮一家公司使用債務時,我們首先看的是現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does YaGuang Technology Group Carry?

亞光科技集團承擔了多少債務?

As you can see below, YaGuang Technology Group had CN¥1.74b of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥1.85b a year prior. However, it does have CN¥205.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.53b.

正如下文所示,亞光科技集團在2024年6月的債務爲17.4億人民幣,比前一年的18.5億人民幣有所減少。然而,它確實有20510萬人民幣的現金來抵消這筆債務,導致淨債務約15.3億人民幣。

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SZSE:300123 Debt to Equity History November 9th 2024
SZSE:300123 債務與股本歷史數據 2024年11月9日

How Strong Is YaGuang Technology Group's Balance Sheet?

亞光科技集團的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, YaGuang Technology Group had liabilities of CN¥2.80b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥513.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥205.1m and CN¥1.99b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.12b.

根據最近報告的資產負債表顯示,亞光科技集團有約28億人民幣的負債需在12個月內償還,以及超過12個月到期的負債爲51380萬人民幣。另一方面,其資金爲20510萬人民幣,應收款爲19.9億人民幣。因此,其負債超過了現金和(短期)應收款的總和約11.2億人民幣。

Of course, YaGuang Technology Group has a market capitalization of CN¥7.82b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is YaGuang Technology Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

當然,亞光科技集團的市值爲78.2億人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以管理的。但是有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東繼續監控資產負債表的變化。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中最多能了解債務的情況。但是,亞光科技集團的收入將影響資產負債表在未來的表現。因此,如果您渴望了解更多關於其收入的信息,不妨查看其中長期收入趨勢的圖表。

Over 12 months, YaGuang Technology Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.2b, which is a fall of 32%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

在12個月內,亞光科技集團在EBIt水平上虧損,其營業收入下降至12億人民幣,下降了32%。坦率地說,這不是一個好兆頭。

Caveat Emptor

買方自負。

Not only did YaGuang Technology Group's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost CN¥91m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥371m. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with YaGuang Technology Group (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

亞光科技集團不僅在過去12個月內營業額下滑,而且在利息和稅前收入(EBIT)上也出現負增長。事實上,在EBIt水平上虧損了9100萬人民幣。當我們考慮到這一點並回顧其資產負債表上的負債情況,相對於現金,對於公司來說擁有任何債務似乎是不明智的。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有點緊張,儘管還沒有超過可修復的範圍。例如,我們不希望看到去年虧損了37100萬人民幣的情況重演。簡而言之,這是一隻非常高風險的股票。資產負債表顯然是在分析債務時需要關注的重點領域。然而,並非所有的投資風險都源自資產負債表 - 遠非如此。我們已經識別出亞光科技集團的2個警告信號(至少1個可能是嚴重的),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

每天結束時,通常更好地關注那些沒有淨債務的公司。您可以查看我們特別名單上的這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長記錄)。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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