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Optimism for Guangdong Delian Group (SZSE:002666) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings

Optimism for Guangdong Delian Group (SZSE:002666) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings

最近一週,儘管基於五年來的收益下滑,對德聯集團(SZSE:002666)的樂觀情緒有所增長。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/08 19:28

If you buy and hold a stock for many years, you'd hope to be making a profit. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Guangdong Delian Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002666) share price is up 18% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. The last year has been disappointing, with the stock price down 3.9% in that time.

如果你買入並持有一隻股票很多年,你希望能夠獲得利潤。此外,你通常希望看到股價上漲的速度快於市場。不幸的是,對於股東來說,德聯集團股份有限公司(SZSE:002666)的股價在過去五年上漲了18%,但這低於市場回報。在過去的一年中,表現令人失望,股價下跌了3.9%。

Since it's been a strong week for Guangdong Delian Group shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

由於對於德聯集團的股東來說這一週表現強勁,讓我們來看看長期基本面的趨勢。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

儘管市場是一個強大的定價機制,股價不僅反映了基本業務表現,還反映了投資者的情緒。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價變化,並隨時間推移這樣做,我們可以了解股東對公司的態度如何隨時間變化。

Guangdong Delian Group's earnings per share are down 16% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

儘管五年來股價表現強勁,但德聯集團的每股收益年均下降16%。

The strong decline in earnings per share suggests the market isn't using EPS to judge the company. The falling EPS doesn't correlate with the climbing share price, so it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

每股收益的大幅下降表明市場並沒有使用EPS來評判這家公司。下滑的EPS與不斷攀升的股價不一致,因此值得看看其他指標。

We doubt the modest 1.4% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 7.4% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Guangdong Delian Group is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

我們懷疑1.4%的分紅派息收益率能吸引很多買家購買該股票。相比之下,7.4%的年度營業收入增長可能被視爲德聯集團正在增長的證據,這是真正的積極因素。在這種情況下,公司可能在犧牲當前每股收益以推動增長。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到以下收益和營收的變化情況(通過單擊圖像了解精確值)。

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SZSE:002666 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 9th 2024
深證指數:002666 每股收益和營業收入增長 2024年11月9日

Take a more thorough look at Guangdong Delian Group's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通過這份免費的資產負債表報告,更深入地了解德聯集團的財務健康。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Guangdong Delian Group's TSR for the last 5 years was 23%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量股價回報,投資者還應該考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR包括任何拆分或折扣融資的價值,以及任何分紅,基於分紅被再投資的假設。可以說,TSR提供了一個更全面的股票回報情況。事實上,德聯集團過去5年的TSR爲23%,超過了之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上歸功於公司的分紅支付!

A Different Perspective

另一種看法

Guangdong Delian Group shareholders are down 2.5% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 11%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 4%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Guangdong Delian Group (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

德聯集團的股東今年下跌了2.5%(即使包括分紅派息),但市場本身上漲了11%。即使是優秀股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在對業務產生過多興趣之前,看到基本指標的改善。長期投資者可能不會太沮喪,因爲他們在五年內每年都有4%的收益。最近的賣出可能是一個機會,因此值得檢查基本數據,以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。 我發現,從長期來看觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理指標非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。 例如,我們發現了德聯集團的三個警告信號(一個無法忽視!),在投資之前你應該意識到這些。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,您可能通過在其他地方尋找會找到一筆極好的投資。因此,請查看我們預計會增長收入的公司免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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