Avadel Pharmaceuticals Plc's (NASDAQ:AVDL) 28% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
Avadel Pharmaceuticals Plc's (NASDAQ:AVDL) 28% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc (NASDAQ:AVDL) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
After such a large jump in price, Avadel Pharmaceuticals' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 16.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 3x and even P/S below 0.8x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does Avadel Pharmaceuticals' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Avadel Pharmaceuticals certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Avadel Pharmaceuticals' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Avadel Pharmaceuticals' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Avadel Pharmaceuticals' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. In spite of this unbelievable short-term growth, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 65% per annum during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why Avadel Pharmaceuticals is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Avadel Pharmaceuticals' P/S
Avadel Pharmaceuticals' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Avadel Pharmaceuticals' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Avadel Pharmaceuticals that you need to take into consideration.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.